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COVID-19 Update - 04/17/2020
My own workup | 04/17/2020 | DoughtyOne

Posted on 04/17/2020 3:13:18 AM PDT by DoughtyOne

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COVID-19 Update

As of 04/16/2020 23:59 PDST


Good morning everyone.

Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.


Links to Data Sources Used to Create the COVID-19 Update: Located near the bottom of this post.


Links to other resources: Near the bottom of this post.


Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information2: Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)

New York's New Numbers Hit the System

The global number of deaths from COVID-19 yesterday, was 12,302. The United states
alone accounted for 6,087 of them. We know that New York reviewed thier records
recently and declared at least 3,700 new deaths to be as a result of COVID-19.
Yesterday those cases finally showed up on the reports.

That massive number skews a number of metrics.

For more reading material on the topic, here's an article revealing the 3,700 numbers.
(one wonders if that's even the whole total they came up with now.) one article
Want more? Take your pick. Look for titles addressing the issue. There are
stragglers down a page or two, on the topic at the time of this post.more articles

Six Nations Have Now Surpassed China's Numbers

Remember when those numbers coming out of China seemed big, even if we didn't think
they were the full count? Well, we now have six nations with numbers higher than
what China was reporting back then.

They are the USA 677,570, Spain 184,948, Italy 168,941, France 165,027, Germany
137,698, and the United Kingdom 103,093.


the Mortality Report


The Mortality Figures Have Become of Interest Due to Perceptions of them Dropping

Here are the figures for the growing totals for four entities.

           	        global osChina osUS
                        .          Global osChina
DATE     the US         .          .      Global
-				
03/07        17        480        497      3,594
03/08        21        685        706      3,825
03/09 --     26 --     864 --     890 --   4,026
03/10        28      1,094      1,122      4,284
03/11        38      1,428      1,466      4,638
03/12 --     40 --   1,508 --   1,548 --   4,720
03/13        47      2,189      2,236      5,429
03/14        57      2,573      2,630      5,833
03/15 --     69 --   3,227 --   3,296 --   6,513
03/16        85      3,839      3,924      7,154
03/17       113      4,599      4,712      7,954
03/18 --    140 --   5,407 --   5,547 --   8,810
03/19       196      6,557      6,753     10,030
03/20       252      7,858      8,110     11,399
03/21 --    329 --   9,411 --   9,740 --  13,049
03/22       396     10,909     11,305     14,706
03/23       428     12,632     13,060     16,563
03/24 --    581 --  14,766 --  15,347 --  18,919
03/25       753     16,890     17,643     21,308
03/26     1,301     19,484     20,785     24,077
03/27 --  1,704 --  22,762 --  24,466 --  27,761
03/28     2,229     25,293     27,522     30,852
03/29     2,488     28,226     30,714     34,018
03/30 --  3,170 --  31,345 --  34,515 --  37,820
03/31     4,055     34,987     39,042     42,354
04/01     5,112     38,837     43,949     47,261
04/02 --  6,095 --  43,743 --  49,838 --  53,160
04/03     7,403     48,208     55,611     58,937
04/04     8,454     53,012     61,466     64,795
04/05 --  9,620 --  56,563 --  66,183 --  69,514
04/06    10,943     60,542     71,485     74,816
04/07    12,875     65,937     78,812     82,145
04/08 -- 14,797 --  70,417 --  85,214 --  88,549
04/09    16,691     75,718     92,409     95,745
04/10    18,747     80,667     99,414    102,753
04/11 -- 20,580 --  84,948 -- 105,528 -- 108,867
04/12    22,115     88,813    110,923    114,269
04/13    23,644     92,745    116,389    119,730
04/14 -- 26,064 -- 102,347 -- 123,411 -- 126,753
04/15    28,554    102,789    131,343    134,685
04/16    34,641    107,714    142,355    146,987
Here's the chart to go along with those figures.

I'm not a big fan of the way New York dumped 3,700 cases on the nation in one day.
Considering the subject matter, I'll leave it at that.

Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.

           	     global osChina osUS
                     .        Global osChina
DATE    the US       .        .    Global
-
03/08        4      205      209      231
03/09        5      179      184      201
03/10        2      230      232      258
03/11 --    10 --   334 --   344 --    54
03/12        2       80       82       82
03/13        7      681      688      709
03/14 --    10 --   384 --   394 --   404
03/15       12      654      666      680
03/16       16      612      628      641
03/17 --    28 --   760 --   788 --   800
03/18       27      808      835      856
03/19       56    1,150    1,206    1,220
03/20 --    56 -- 1,301 -- 1,357 -- 1,369
03/21       77    1,553    1,630    1,650
03/22       67    1,498    1,565    1,657
03/23 --    32 -- 1,723 -- 1,755 -- 1,857
03/24      153    2,134    2,287    2,356
03/25      172    2,124    2,296    2,389
03/26 --   548 -- 2,594 -- 3,142 -- 2,769
03/27      403    3,278    3,681    3,684
03/28      525    2,531    3,056    3,091
03/29 --   259 -- 2,933 -- 3,192 --   166
03/30      682    3,119    3,801    3,802
03/31      885    3,642    4,527    4,534
04/01 -- 1,057 -- 3,850 -- 4,907 -- 4,907
04/02      983    4,906    5,889    5,899
04/03    1,308    4,465    5,773    5,777
04/04 -- 1,051 -- 4,804 -- 5,855 -- 5,858
04/05    1,166    3,551    4,717    4,719
04/06    1,323    3,979    5,302    5,302
04/07 -- 1,932 -- 5,395 -- 7,327 -- 7,329
04/08    1,922    4,480    6,402    6,404
04/09    1,894    5,301    7,195    7,196
04/10 -- 2,056 -- 4,949 -- 7,005 -- 7,008
04/11    1,833    4,252    6,085    6,085
04/12    1,535    3,865    5,400    5,402
04/13 -- 1,529 -- 3,932 -- 5,461 -- 5,461
04/14    2,420    4,602    7,022    7,023
04/15    2,490    5,442    7,932    7,932
04/16    6,087    4,925   11,012   12,302 
Here's the chart to go with it

Who in their right mind... (steam errupts)

Look at those charts, and the next one is even worse.

      EOD ACCUM     INCR
          DAILY     OVER     DAILY
          DEATH     PREV   PERCENT
DATE     TOTALS      DAY    GROWTH
-
03/14        57
03/15        69       12    21.05%
03/16        85       16    23.19%
03/17 --    113 --    28 -- 32.94%
03/18       140       27    23.89%
03/19       196       56    40.00%
03/20 --    252 --    56 -- 28.57%
03/21       329       77    30.56%
03/22       396       67    20.36%
03/23 --    428 --    32 --  8.08%
03/24       581      153    35.75%
03/25       753      172    29.60%
03/26 --  1,301 --   548 -- 72.78%
03/27     1,704      403    30.98%
03/28     2,229      525    30.81%
03/29 --  2,488 --   259 -- 11.62%
03/30     3,170      682    27.41%
03/31     4,055      885    27.92%
04/01 --  5,112 -- 1,057 -- 26.07%
04/02     6,095      983    19.23%
04/03     7,403    1,308    21.46%
04/04 --  8,454 -- 1,051 -- 14.20%
04/05     9,620    1,166    13.79%
04/06    10,943    1,323    13.75%
04/07 -- 12,875 -- 1,932 -- 17.66%
04/08    14,797    1,922    14.93%
04/09    16,691    1,894    12.80%
04/10 -- 18,747 -- 2,056 -- 12.32%
04/11    20,580    1,833     9.78%
04/12    22,115    1,535     7.46%
04/13 -- 23,644 -- 1,529 --  7.46%
04/14    26,064    2,420    10.24%
04/15    28,554    2,490     9.56%
04/16    34,641    6,087    21.32%
This chart tracks the daily inrease over the previous day, the middle column there.

Look at that daily increase. Moving on...


The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America


Numbers Here Went up Considerably Yesterday

Declared Cases in the United States

             EOD     DAY'S   INCR'SD
DATE       CASES     GRWTH    GROWTH
-
03/20     19,624     5,374       539
03/21     26,747     7,123     1,749
03/22     35,206     8,459     1,336
03/23 --  46,442 -- 11,236 --  2,777
03/24     54,893     8,789    -2,427
03/25     60,197    13,966     5,177        
03/26 --  85,991 -- 16,794 --  2,828
03/27    104,839    18,848     2,054
03/28    124,665    19,826       978
03/29 -- 143,025 -- 18,360 -- -1,466
03/30    164,620    21,595     3,235
03/31    189,624    25,004     3,409
04/01 -- 216,721 -- 27,097 --  2,093
04/02    245,559    28,838     1,741
04/03    278,458    32,899     4,061
04/04 -- 312,237 -- 33,779 --    899
04/05    337,638    25,401    -8,378
04/06    368,376    30,738     5,337
04/07 -- 399,929 -- 31,553 --    815
04/08    435,160    35,231     3,678
04/09    466,299    31,139    -4,092
04/10 -- 501,609 -- 35,310 --  4,171
04/11    529,951    28,342    -6,968
04/12    557,590    27,639      -703
04/13 -- 582,594 -- 25,004 -- -2,635
04/14    609,516    26,922     1,918
04/15    644,348    34,832     7,910
04/16    678,210    33,862       970

Well, we're growing again. I don't like it, but we're now mid 30s growth.


Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, & Serious/Critical Cases
in the United States

Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous

                                        ACTIVE   SERIOUS
DATE       FATAL    RECOV    RESOLV      CASES  CRITICAL
-
03/20       252       152       404     19,220
03/21       329       176       505     26,242
03/22       396       178       574     34,632
03/23 --    428 --    178 --    606 --  45,836
03/24       581       354       935     54,296
03/25       753       619     1,372     67,825
03/26 --  1,301 --  1,868 --  3,169 --  82,822
03/27     1,704     2,622     4,326    100,513
03/28     2,229     3,231     5,460    119,205
03/29 --  2,488 --  4,562 --  7,050 -- 135,975
03/30     3,170     5,507     8,677    155,943
03/31     4,055     7,251    11,306    178,318 
04/01 --  5,112 --  8,878 -- 13,990 -- 202,731 --  5,005
04/02     6,095    10,403    16,498    229,061     5,421
04/03     7,403    12,283    19,686    258,772     5,787
04/04 --  8,454 -- 14,825 -- 23,279 -- 288,958 --  8,206
04/05     9,620    17,977    27,597    310,041     8,702    The 4th no
04/06    10,943    19,810    30,753    337,623     8,983   on the Left
04/07 -- 12,875 -- 22,711 -- 34,586 -- 365,343 --  9,169    updated on
04/08    14,797    22,891    37,688    397,472     9,279         4/16
04/09    16,691    25,928    42,619    423,680    10,011    from 5,787
04/10 -- 18,747 -- 27,314 -- 46,061 -- 455,548 -- 10,917     to 8,206
04/11    20,580    30,502    51,082    478,869    11,471  Presbyterian
04/12    22,115    32,634    54,749    502,841    11,766     Reporter
04/13 -- 23,644 -- 36,948 -- 60,592 -- 522,002 -- 12,772     followed
04/14    26,046    38,820    64,884    544,632    13,473  more closely
04/15    28,554    48,708    77,262    567,086    13,487     early on
04/16    34,641    57,844    92,485    585,725    13,369
There's not much to say here.


Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie Continues to Grow

There are a number of factors than can have impact on why we have so many of the global
cases. Perhaps we're ramping up the testing more than others.

Here is what those numbers looked like at the end of the day yesterday. Maybe the virus
was here a lot earlier than we thought. It's hard to tell.

       DECLARED     DAY'S     ACTIVE     DAY'S
DATE      CASES      CHGE      CASES      CHGE
- 
03/20    7.125%    1.297%    10.934%    1.552%
03/21    8.704%    1.579%    13.000%    2.066%
03/22   10.377%    1.673%    15.343%    2.343%
03/23   12.170%    1.793%    17.411%    2.068%
03/24   13.053%    0.883%    18.369%    0.958%
03/25   14.657%    1.604%    20.190%    1.821%
03/26   16.140%    1.483%    21.454%    1.264%
03/27   17.530%    1.390%    22.920%    1.466%.  
03/28   18.742%    1.212%    24.126%    1.206%
03/29   19.762%    1.020%    25.289%    1.163%
03/30   20.936%    1.174%    26.777%    1.488%
03/31   22.045%    1.109%    27.885%    1.108%
04/01   23.110%    1.065%    29.120%    1.235%
04/02   24.160%    1.050%    30.482%    1.362%
04/03   24.886%    0.726%    31.057%    0.575%
04/04   25.935%    1.049%    32.400%    1.343%
04/05   26.464%    0.529%    32.866%    0.466%
04/06   27.324%    0.860%    34.153%    1.287%
04/07   27.930%    0.606%    34.854%    0.701%
04/08   28.634%    0.704%    36.125%    1.271%
04/09   29.091%    0.457%    36.790%    0.665%
04/10   29.523%    0.432%    37.363%    0.573%
04/11   29.812%    0.289%    37.872%    0.509%
04/12   30.124%    0.312%    38.500%    0.628%
04/13   30.332%    0.208%    38.714%    0.214%
04/14   30.537%    0.205%    39.364%    0.650%
04/15   30.888%    0.351%    39,489%    0.125%
04/16   31.024%    0.136%    39,416%   -0.073%
Smie... look at that tiny slippage in the percentage of global active cases we
accout for. Yahoo...


The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland China


Well, the numbers were back up yesterday. We're now seeing new cases per day. Ouch!

Yes, back to still more numbers...

               EOD      DAY'S   INCR'SD
DATE         CASES     GROWTH    GROWTH - compared to day before
-
03/20      194,148     30,824     5,185
03/21      225,932     31,784       963
03/22      257,820     31,888       104
03/23      297,172     39,352     7,464
03/24      341,530     41,462     2,110
03/25      390,378     48,848     7,386
03/26      451,006     60,628    11,780
03/27      516,124     65,118     4,490
03/28      583,107     66,983     1,865
03/29      641,588     58,481    -8,502
03/30      704,051     62,463     3,982
03/31      777,887     73,836    11,373
04/01      855,389     77,502     3,666
04/02      933,937     78,548     1,046
04/03    1,036,395    102,458    23,910
04/04    1,121,349     84,954   -17,054
04/05    1,193.215     71,866   -13,088
04/06    1,265,487     72,272       386
04/07    1,349,117     83,630    11,358
04/08    1,436,669     87,552     3,922
04/09    1,519,961     83,292    -4,260
04/10    1,616,016     96,055    12,763
04/11    1,694,570     78,554   -17,501
04/12    1,767,831     73,261    -5,293
04/13    1,838,067     70,236    -3,025
04/14    1,912,638     74,571     4,335
04/15    2,003,756     91,118    16,547
04/16    2,103,357     99,601     8,483
Wish I could blame this on my data. Nope. This is rock hard reality.


Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Crical Cases
Globally, Excluding M/L China

Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous

                                               ACTIVE     SERIOUS
DATE       FATAL       RECOV      RESOLV        CASES    CRITICAL
-
03/20      8,110      16,393      24,503      169,645
03/21      9,740      19,995      29,735      196,197
03/22     11,305      25,485      36,790      221,030
03/23     13,060      28,470      41,530      258,538
03/24     15,347      35,256      50,603      290,927
03/25     17,643      40,467      58,210      332,168
03/26     20,785      48,084      68,869      382,137
03/27     24,466      56,801      81,267      434,857
03/28     27,522      64,777      92,299      490,808
03/29     30,714      76,342     107,056      534,532
03/30     34,515      89,989     124,504      579,547
03/31     39,052     102,121     141,163      636,724
04/01     43,949     118,092     162,041      693,348
04/02     49,838     135,204     185,042      748,895
04/03     55,611     150,014     205,625      839,770
04/04     61,466     170,309     231,775      889,574      41,993
04/05     66,183     185,921     252,104      941,111      45,633
04/06     71,485     208,635     280,120      985,367      47,201
04/07     78,812     224,264     303,076    1,046,041      47,743
04/08     85,214     253,546     338,760    1,097,909      47,990
04/09     92,409     278,059     370,468    1,149,493      49,001
04/10     99,443     299,451     398,894    1,217,122      49,692
04/11    105,528     326,847     432,375    1,262,195      50,485
04/12    110,928     352,960     463,888    1,303,943      50,735
04/13    116,389     375,551     491,940    1,346,127      51,035
04/14    128,411     407,858     531,269    1,381,369      51,490
04/15    131,343     437,452     568,795    1,434,961      51,043
04/16    142,355     475,102     617,457    1,485,900      56,510


Flattening...

Well, i don't like saying it, but flattening this isn't. We're on an upward trend.

Lets review the situation again.

Here: (case growth)

-
                   Global (EC)         Global
           the           Minus      Excluding 
          U. S.      the U. S.          China
03/29    19,826         38,955         58,481
03/30    21,595         40,868         62,463
03/31    25,004         48,832         73,836
04/01    27,097         50,405         77,502
04/02    28,838         49,710         78,548
04/03    32,899         69,559        102,458
04/04    33,843         51,111         84,954
04/05    25,401         46,465         71,866
04/06    30,738         41,534         72,272
04/07    31,553         52,077         83,630
04/08    35,231         52,321         87,552
04/09    31,139         52,153         83,292
04/10    35,310         60,745         96,055
04/11    28,342         50,212         78,554
04/12    27,639         45,622         73,261
04/13    25,004         45,323         70,236
04/14    26,922         47,649         74,571
04/15    34,832         56,286         91,118
04/16    33,862         65,739         99,601

Not good.


Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.

Lets Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:

DATE       FRANCE      GERMANY        ITALY       SPAIN     The U K
-
02/20          12           16            3           2           9
02/25          14           18          322           9          13
03/01         100          117        1,128          76          36
03/06  --     653  --      670  --    4,636  --     401  --     164
03/11       2,284        1,966       12,462       2,277         459
03/16       6,650        7,272       27,980       9,942       1,553
03/21      14,485       22,364       53,578      25,496       5,067
03/26  --  29,566  --   43,938  --   80,589  --  57,786  --  11,812
03/31      52,819       68,180      105,792      94,417      25,481
04/05      93,780      100,123      128,948     131,646      44,440
04/10     125,931      122,171      147,577     158,273      74,605
04/15  -- 147,863  --  134,753  --  165,155  -- 180,659  --  98,476
04/16     165,027      137,698      168,941     184,948     103,093 < 1 DAY NOT FIVE
-
Deaths     17,920        4,052       22,170      19,315      13,729
-
Populace   66.274m      83.784m      60.462m     46.755m     67.886m
-
C P M 1m    2,490        1,643        2,794       1,956       1,518
-
D P M 1m      270           48          367         413         202

It was mentioned that my population numbers weren't as accurate as I would have
liked, so I updated these figures and the figures in the study of Sweden just
below. I wouldn't pay attention the numb4ers from line to line here. The
per million figures should still be accurate and worthy of comparison.


Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Againt COVID-19?

Sweeden is doing their own thing with regard to isolating. It doesn't seem like they
are doing too bad.

Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.

DATE       SWEDEN      DENMARK      FINLAND      NORWAY
-
02/21           1            0            1           0
02/26           2            0            1           1
03/02          15            4            6          25
03/07  --     161  --       27  --       19  --     156
03/12         599          617           59         702
03/17       1,196        1,024          321       1,471
03/22       1,934        1,514          626       2,385
03/27  --   3,069  --    2,700  --    1,041  --   3,771
04/01       4,947        3,290        1,446       4,877
04/06       7,206        4,875        2,176       5,865
04/11      10,151        6,191        2,905       6,409
04/16      12,640        6,879        3,369       6,950
-
Deaths      1,333          321           75         152
-
Populace   10.099m       5.792m       5.541m      5.421m
-
C P M 1m    1,252        1,188          608       1,282
-
D P M 1m      132           55           14          28

It was mentioned that my population numbers weren't as accurate as I would have
liked, so I updated these figures and the figures in the study of Sweden just
below. I wouldn't pay attention the numb4ers from line to line here. The
per million figures should still be accurate and worthy of comparison here also.

Now while their case numbers don't look out of whack, I still can't figure out
why their rate of death is so much higher per million.

Whatever Finland is doing, someone should can it and sell it.


The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*

Mainland China numbers make up 00.08% of today's cases globally


Nations With Lots of Cases

At the end of the day yesterday, there were:

 1 nation(s) with 600,000 plus (take a bow...)
 5 nation(s) with 100,000 to 199,999
 3 nation(s) with  50,000 to  99,999
 6 natiom(s) with  20,000 to  49,999
 8 nation(s) with  10,000 to  19,999
17 nation(s) with   5,000 to   9,999
36 nation(s) with   1,000 to   4,999
There are currently 76 nations with a 1,000 count or above...

That's a whole lot of nations there.


A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China

End of day figures follow:

           DECLAR     DAY'S  RESOLVED    DAY'S   PCT DEC      ACTIVE
DATE        CASES    GROWTH     CASES   GROWTH  CS RESOL       CASES
-
03/20 -   275,434 -  30,911 -  99,655 -  3,590 - 36.181% -   175,779
03/21     307,280    31,846   105,425    5,770   34.309%     201,855
03/22     339,259    31,979   113,540    8,115   33.467%     225,719
03/23 -   381,621 -  42,362 - 118,369 -  4,829 - 31.017% -   263,252
03/24     423,121    41,500   127,538    9,169   30.142%     295,583
03/25     472,109    48,998   136,178    8,640   28.845%     335,931
03/26 -   532,788 -  60.679 - 146,749 - 10,571 - 27.544% -   386,039
03/27     598,070    65,282   159,533   12,784   26.675%     438,537
03/28     665,164    67,094   171,077   11,544   25.720%     494,087
03/29 -   723,740 -  58,576 - 186,060 - 14,983 - 25.708% -   537,680
03/30     786,291    62,551   203,926   17,848   25.933%     582,383
03/31     860,181    73,890   220,713   16,085   25.659%     639,468
04/01 -   937,783 -  77,602 - 241,591 - 20,878 - 25.762% -   696,192
04/02   1,016,401    78,618   264,935   23,344   26.066%     751,466
04/03   1,118,921   102,520   285,706   20,771   25.534%     833,215
04/04 - 1,203,923 -  85,002 - 312,068 - 26,362 - 25.931% -   891,855
04/05   1,275,856    71,933   332,513   20,445   26.062%     943,343
04/06   1,348,184    72,328   359,618   27,105   26.674%     988,566
04/07 - 1,431,900 -  83,716 - 383,688 - 24,070 - 26.796% - 1,048,212
04/08   1,519,478    87,848   419,465   35,777   27.606%   1,100,283
04/09   1,602,885    83,407   451,259   31,794   28.153%   1,151,626
04/10 - 1,699,019 -  96,134 - 479,758 - 28,499 - 28.237% - 1,219,261
04/11   1,777,666    78,647   513,239   33,481   28.872%   1,264,427
04/12   1,850,966    73,300   544,892   31,653   29.438%   1,306,074
04/13   1,921,369    70,403   573,019   28,127   29.823%   1,348,350
04/14 - 1,995,989 -  74,620 - 612,427 - 39,408 - 30.683% - 1,383,562
04/15   2,086,097    90,108   650,029   37,602   31.160%   1,436,068
04/16   2,186,049    99,952   700,033   50,004   32.023%   1,486,016
That recovery percentage continues to climb. It's has grown 6.5% in the last two
weeks. That will impact our active cases.


Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Crical Cases
Globally, Including M/L China

Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous

                                               ACTIVE     SERIOUS
DATE       FATAL       RECOV      RESOLV        CASES    CRITICAL
-
03/20     11,399      88,256      99,655      175,779
03/21     13,049      92,376     105,425      201,855
03/22     14,706      98,834     113,540      225,719
03/23     16,563     101,806     118,369      263,252
03/24     18,919     108,619     127,358      295,583
03/25     21,308     114,870     136,178      335,931
03/26     24,077     122,672     146,749      386,039
03/27     27,761     131,772     159,533      438,537
03/28     30,852     140,225     171,077      494,087
03/29     34,018     152,042     186,060      537,680
03/30     37,820     166,088     203,908      582,383
03/31     42,354     178,359     220,713      639,468      
04/01     47,261     194,330     241,591      696,192
04/02     53,160     211,775     264,935      751,466
04/03     58,937     226,769     285,706      833,215
04/04     64,795     247,273     312,068      891,855      42,288  ch 295
04/05     69,514     262,999     332,513      943,343      45,898  ch 265
04/06     74,816     284,802     359,618      988,566      47,412  ch 211
04/07     82,145     301,543     383,688    1,048,212      47,932  ch 189
04/08     88,549     330,916     419,464    1,100,283      48,166  ch 176
04/09     95,475     355,514     451,259    1,151,626      49,145  ch 144
04/10    102,782     376,976     479,758    1,219,261      49,833  ch 141
04/11    108,867     404,372     513,239    1,264,427      50,624  ch 139
04/12    114,269     430,623     544,892    1,306,074      50,856  ch 121
04/13    119,730     453,289     573,019    1,348,350      51,151  ch 116
04/14    126,753     485,674     612,427    1,383,562      51,603  ch 113
04/15    134,685     515,344     650,029    1,436,068      51,138  ch  95
04/16    146,987     553,046     700,033    1,486,016      56,599  ch  89
I don't like days like this. There isn't much good news.!


Population Saturation

Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one case.
I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this time.

                     1 CASE IN
                   THIS NUMBER                              CHANGE      CHANGE
                     OF PEOPLE                                  ON          ON
ENTITY                   04/16       04/15       04/14       04/16       04/15
-
Globally      :          5,234       5,411       5,616        -177        -205
Outside China :          5,235       5,415       5,625        -180        -210
The U. S. A.  :            565         583         607         -18         -24
-
               INFECTION LEVEL
                     OF ENTIRE                              CHANGE      CHANGE
                      POPULACE                                  ON          ON
ENTITY                   04/16       04/15       04/14       04/16       04/15
-
Globally      :       00.0192%    00.0177%    00.0170%    00.0015%    00.0007%
Outside China :       00.0232%    00.0224%    00.0216%    00.0008%    00.0008%
The U. S. A.  :       00.1770%    00.1713%    00.1648%    00.0057%    00.0065%

Daily Case Report Evaluation

I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certaind days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticably larger because of it.

Let's check out the numbers and a chart.

Wk/of      Tue      Wed      Thu      Fri      Sat      Sun      Mon
-
03/06    2,223    2,265    2,962    3,801    3,977    3,876    4,411  
03/13    4,411    4,680    2,085   17,028   11,031   13,847   12,158
03/20   15,748   20,668   25,700   30,911   31,846   31,979   42,362
03/27   41,500   48,988   60,679   65,282   67,094   58,576   62,551
04/03   73,890   77,602   78,618  102,520   85,002   71,933   72,328
04/10   72,328   87,578   83,407   96,134   78,647   73,300   70,403
04/17   74,620   90,108   99,952

Friday's do seem to have a bias in favor of larger reports of new cases.

I'll keep tracking this for at least a few more weeks to give folks a chance to detect
patterns not only on Fridays, but other days as well.


States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Alphabetical & by Case Number
Idea of adding more informaton here, courtesy of Presbyterian Reporter

This little report now provides the number of cases and the deaths. I was going
to add more, but the data set I needed to pull this from, didn't provide that
information.. It's an alphabetical and cases by declining number file.

It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file, so you can do your own
sorting, beyond the two sorts I have provided here. Both the states and the counties
come on one Excell spreadsheet.

Here is the Standing of 200 Counties in the U. S.

This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report just list the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.

It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file, so you can do your own
sorting, beyond the two sorts I have provided here. The States and Counties are
included on the same Excel spreadsheet.


Here's what it's all about. From January 20th to the present.


This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...



Courtesy of: foldspace


Data for this Report Sourced From:

LINK   Johns Hopkins University
               The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)

LINK   WorldoMeters

LINK   You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
               There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.


Other Features:

LINK   US States DC51, Territories5+, and Counties200
               
Excel Spreadsheet with Alphabetical and Numerically descending Cases


Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own discression.

LINK   Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info

LINK   CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.

LINK   CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around

LINK   Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map

LINK   COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
               New England Journal of Medicine article

LINK   On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
               Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.

LINK   Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712

LINK   earlyAlert

LINK   Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
               Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians

LINK   IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation

LINK   National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)

LINK   New York City - interesting breakdown, burough, age, sex

LINK   World Health Organization


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; covid19
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

Exactly


61 posted on 04/17/2020 4:09:59 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: DoughtyOne

They get reimbursed much more for a CoVid death


62 posted on 04/17/2020 4:10:39 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Nifster

That is absolutely false.

These are people who died outside of the system. Who would get paid, and for what? What a stupid idea.


63 posted on 04/17/2020 4:29:24 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: SteveH

“””yet another reason to focus on NYC:”””


We also need to start focusing on Belgium. With 445 deaths per million people, Belgium has surpassed both Spain and Italy as being the most dangerous country in Europe.

Why is that?

Well, one reason could be is that Brussells is the ‘capital” of the European Union and it would be the place the Chinese would go to get permission to let European companies move their operations to China or to let China buy European companies.


64 posted on 04/17/2020 4:34:47 PM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Vermont Lt

It is not false. It is part of the CARES act

Stupid idea??? Of course what do you expect from congress??


65 posted on 04/17/2020 5:04:04 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Nifster

Who gets paid?


66 posted on 04/17/2020 5:07:34 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
Well, one reason could be is that Brussels is the ‘capital” of the European Union and it would be the place the Chinese would go to get permission to let European companies move their operations to China or to let China buy European companies.

Did not think of that. I was in Belgium/Brussels the 2nd week of November. Around December 8th, my daughter who lives with me, came down with a bad bug which included a dry cough, fever, headache and tremendous lack of energy. It lasted about ten days. Dr. thought it might be the flu, but no test, just a Z-pack, etc. Looking back it seemed a bit more than the flu. Fortunately I never got sick. In fact I do not recall ever having the flu.

67 posted on 04/17/2020 5:27:05 PM PDT by suijuris (Once a man learns to see he finds himself alone in the world with nothing but folly.)
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To: Vermont Lt

The hospital


68 posted on 04/17/2020 7:23:23 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Nifster

And where did all these “extra” people die?

You are so quick to be an asshole to people, you don’t bother to learn the facts.

How should they code these bodies that never went to the hospital to receive Medicare reimbursement.


69 posted on 04/17/2020 8:16:41 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Vermont Lt

You’ve been quarantined too long


70 posted on 04/17/2020 10:29:26 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: DoughtyOne
Wow. That seems like total drudgery to me and I was a math major {but I hated basic arithmetic +-x/}. It not that I couldn't do it but it bored me, much like computer programing.

I had to learn programing when I sold computers, and I did, but since I never liked it, I was never very good at it {funny how that works}.

I commend the great work you are doing, to me it's like watching a pro golfer, I can golf but since I know how hard it is, I appreciate watching a pro work.

Keep up the great work, it's one of the few places on FR that there is no snarking going on, not even from idiots like me.

71 posted on 04/18/2020 5:44:59 AM PDT by USS Alaska (NUKE THE MOOSELIMB, TERRORISTS, NOW!)
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To: USS Alaska
Keep up the great work, it's one of the few places on FR that there is no snarking going on, not even from idiots like me.

Let me correct this statement.

There is very little snarking going on here, some times it just slides in.

72 posted on 04/18/2020 5:50:59 AM PDT by USS Alaska (NUKE THE MOOSELIMB, TERRORISTS, NOW!)
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To: Nifster

Good response.

You’ve been a bully on these forums for too long. You should be ashamed of yourself.


73 posted on 04/18/2020 6:16:50 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Nifster

correct


74 posted on 04/18/2020 7:51:55 AM PDT by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: USS Alaska

Don’t know why but I enjoy it.

Perhaps the one thing I like about it, is if something screws
up, I did it. Now questions.

It doesn’t fight back, and it’s totally fair. If I don’t
cause problems it doesn’t.


75 posted on 04/18/2020 7:32:17 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
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