There is no logical way that CV wasn't in Calif literally 24 hrs after it showed up in Hubei back in the fall. That's why everyone was sick this winter with the non-flu; don't worry that it knocked people (such as myself) out.
Then we start seeing the slow reveal that the vast majority of CV fatalities are at risk elderly & co-morbids (hence the disproportionate AA numbers), while young and normal healthy are a-ok.
And then the grand finale, we discover fed funds are being directed to HC providers for reimbursements if CV is noted. Not the cause of death, but just the mere presence of CV alone.
“may”
15% may?
That’s Herd immunity?
Gosh, the stupidity makes you marvel.
Of course, there are other articles which hint that immunity may last less than a year. So, it’s barely immunity at all. And, likewise, a vaccine may not succeed if anti-bodies in effect get flushed out of your system after a few months.
If herd immunity isn’t possible, then I don’t know what we do. But I do know that shutting down the economy is no solution.
No such thing has herd immunity. It is only a lack of exposure.
Okay, but they tested the city dubbed “German wuhan”. Which mean this city is not representative of the rest of Germany.
And if this study holds up, it still means its 4 times more lethal than the flu. And 4 times as many people have to get it in that city before herd immunity is reached.
I believe testing will show that millions of Americans have been exposed to the COV. It’s everywhere, Montana, North Dakota, and Crook County Wyoming (population, one person every 2.5 sq.mi.)
The NYT posts a map daily showing the confirmed cases.
Anecdotally, a friend of mine came back to Texas from Maryland in late December with a severe respiratory infection lasting two weeks. He tested negative for the flu. My son, on a military base, had the worst flu like symptoms he’s ever had lasting a week, six weeks ago.
You need about 80% infected to reach herd immunity so not even close.
My view on the fastest, yet safest, way to achieve herd immunity (based on the assumption that the HCQ/zinc/azithromycin combination works, especially when given prior to needing hospitalization):
Build a sufficient stock of all three drugs, particularly the first two, at all pharmacies and doctor’s offices and then reopen the country, except for nursing homes and similar facilities.
Give treating doctors and other healthcare workers prophylactic doses of HCQ and zinc and then have them treat any patients with symptoms almost exactly as Dr. Zelenko is doing. That is, don’t treat the healthy with mild symptoms. Send them home with a prescription to be used if their symptoms worsen, perhaps, but let them get over the disease without treatment so they build immunity.
If the drug combination works as many doctors now claim, the country can return to normal and in relatively short order we would have both herd immunity and a restored economy. This would be the fastest, and most cost effective, way to proceed, and we could do it in a matter of a week, or two at most.
Trump’s job should be to get the drugs distributed and then reduce federal restrictions. Let the governors each decide whether to sign on. Those that do will, in my opinion anyway, be rewarded by their constituents. Those that don’t will soon change their minds if they see it working elsewhere.
This synopsis agrees with the original article in German, except that the virologists 1) say nothing about herd immunity, and 2) propose a four-step easing of the current shutdown (but nothing about how to know when to start easing).