...indicates a covid-19 fatality rate of 0.37 percent, information expected to inform government decision-making about lifting restrictions.German antibody study indicates fatality rate of 0.37 percent
The US' ranking in this group of countries hasn't changed much at all since Day 8. I also want to re-iterate what I said yesterday, that reporting in NYC (and probably elsewhere) suffer from reporting lags.
As noted previously, the 'hands-off' countries like Sweden and the Netherlands are higher (which isn't a good thing) though the US is pretty close to Sweden which hasn't vaporized its service sector. Time will tell if their approach is prudent. And, in line with this article, Austria and Luxembourg have much lower population-adjusted fatalities; while not shown, Norway and her 5MM citizens had about 6M adjusted fatalities a few days ago. At the other end of the spectrum, Spain and the UK continue to look like hell on this adjusted basis. As noted earlier, Europe is on avg about 8 holes, erm, 8 days ahead of the US.
Someone asked me what all this means. I approach this answer the same way I approach the query of comparing gun control in other countries vs the US: ours is a nation of individuals with a strong distrust of authority but a willingness to do the right thing. We tend to go our own way, which works best for us but on a comparative basis may look good or bad (depending upon who gets to define 'good' and 'bad'). In the end, other countries and their homogenized population of obedient peoples may take an approach with lower 'costs.' America with her 329MM individuals may use a more harsh, 'social distancing' approach that seems to have vaporized a good chunk of the economy, but we're also not like the UK, Spain and Belgium.
In the long run, I'm betting on America.
Country | Date of Day 1/1,000 population-adjusted deaths | Day 11 | Day 12 | Day 13 | Day 14 | Day 15 | Day 16 | Day 17 |
Andorra | 3/21/20 | 51,000 | 59,500 | 63,750 | 68,000 | 72,250 | 76,500 | 89,250 |
San Marino | 3/3/20 | 49,079 | 49,079 | 49,079 | 68,711 | 68,711 | 107,974 | 107,974 |
United Kingdom | 3/15/20 | 15,528 | 19,326 | 25,357 | 34,021 | 41,018 | 47,016 | 59,744 |
Spain | 3/13/20 | 16,170 | 19,647 | 25,518 | 30,541 | 35,950 | 41,855 | 47,600 |
Belgium | 3/19/20 | 12,325 | 14,670 | 20,160 | 23,678 | 28,911 | 32,686 | 36,689 |
West Bank and Gaza | 3/25/20 | 28,167 | 28,167 | 28,167 | 28,167 | 28,167 | - | - |
France | 3/18/20 | 11,384 | 12,828 | 14,887 | 17,353 | 19,864 | 26,521 | 32,034 |
Netherlands | 3/17/20 | 10,330 | 12,086 | 14,579 | 16,335 | 19,640 | 22,189 | 25,324 |
Italy | 3/5/20 | 9,896 | 11,805 | 13,692 | 16,291 | 18,627 | 22,057 | 26,395 |
Ireland | 3/25/20 | 9,174 | 10,580 | 11,651 | 14,062 | 15,736 | - | - |
Sweden | 3/23/20 | 9,823 | 11,417 | 11,896 | 12,789 | 15,213 | 18,848 | 21,910 |
United States | 3/25/20 | 8,407 | 9,619 | 10,783 | 12,722 | 14,695 | - | - |
Switzerland | 3/16/20 | 7,331 | 8,866 | 10,132 | 11,514 | 13,779 | 16,619 | 18,730 |
Macedonia | 3/24/20 | 5,819 | 8,244 | 8,729 | 11,153 | 12,608 | 14,063 | - |
Luxembourg | 3/17/20 | 8,052 | 9,663 | 11,273 | 11,810 | 12,347 | 15,568 | 16,105 |
Denmark | 3/22/20 | 5,886 | 6,962 | 7,867 | 9,112 | 10,131 | 10,584 | 11,489 |
Portugal | 3/23/20 | 6,702 | 7,889 | 8,530 | 9,460 | 9,973 | 11,064 | 12,186 |
Germany | 3/25/20 | 5,723 | 6,278 | 7,174 | 7,990 | 9,310 | - | - |
Austria | 3/23/20 | 5,849 | 6,219 | 6,885 | 7,552 | 8,144 | 8,995 | 10,106 |
Iran | 3/9/20 | 5,078 | 5,667 | 6,154 | 6,664 | 7,166 | 7,649 | 8,214 |
Iceland | 3/23/20 | 3,619 | 3,619 | 3,619 | 3,619 | 5,428 | 5,428 | 5,428 |
Cyprus | 3/23/20 | 3,762 | 4,139 | 4,139 | 3,386 | 3,386 | 3,386 | 3,386 |