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The number we have been needing is one that is not subject to fudging or finagling. During the Spanish Flu in 1918 they used a calculation called excess deaths to determine what number of deaths could be laid directly at the feet of the disease. No assumptions, no hair-splitting, just simple arithmetic. (This is my first post ever. Please be nice. Thanks.)
1 posted on 04/08/2020 11:29:03 AM PDT by Aloysius88
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To: Aloysius88

No one driving


2 posted on 04/08/2020 11:30:20 AM PDT by donozark (Sam Walton: It was paper when we started, and it's paper afterward.)
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To: All

People staying at home?


3 posted on 04/08/2020 11:30:23 AM PDT by mmichaels1970
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To: Aloysius88

Because deaths go down in economic downturns, although less eating out cannot hurt.

https://www.npr.org/2018/01/09/576669311/hidden-brain-great-recession-deaths


4 posted on 04/08/2020 11:31:27 AM PDT by erlayman (yw)
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To: Aloysius88
Thanks for posting March. I think the trend may continue in April. Also numbers from later this year will show a drop due to any premature mortality now.
5 posted on 04/08/2020 11:32:04 AM PDT by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways from Sunday)
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To: Aloysius88

Social separation over-achieves on many factors.


6 posted on 04/08/2020 11:32:09 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Aloysius88

I was just asking about this very thing. Thanks. Since deaths are down, not up, can we ease up on this madness now?


7 posted on 04/08/2020 11:32:17 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy (;-,)
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To: Aloysius88; Saint Athanasius

ping


9 posted on 04/08/2020 11:33:31 AM PDT by rhinohunter (FAUCI MUST GO!!!)
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To: Aloysius88

Everyone and everything is in a holding pattern right now, including the grim reaper.


11 posted on 04/08/2020 11:33:41 AM PDT by Reagan80 ("In this current crisis, government is not the solution to our problems, government IS the problem")
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To: Aloysius88

Bump.


12 posted on 04/08/2020 11:33:53 AM PDT by libertylover (Socialism will always look good to those who think they can get something for nothing.)
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To: Aloysius88

You’ve been here TWENTY TWO years and this is your first post ever?

You must have won the all-time high Lurker award today!


13 posted on 04/08/2020 11:34:10 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: Aloysius88

Much less driving and the bars are closed.


14 posted on 04/08/2020 11:34:15 AM PDT by eastexsteve
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To: Aloysius88

Isolation means less transmission of all diseases and less driving and other risky behavior. It is a dangerous thing to leave home.


15 posted on 04/08/2020 11:34:31 AM PDT by Busywhiskers ("Once you have wrestled, everything else in life is easy" -Dan Gable)
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To: Aloysius88

Hmmm.., instead of EXCESS DEATHS it appears we’re facing a DEATH DEFICIT. Mein Gott, what are we going to do to get our deaths back!

Good first post. ;-).


17 posted on 04/08/2020 11:34:40 AM PDT by House Atreides (It is not a HOAX but it IS A PRETEXT!)
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To: Aloysius88

No one driving. College kids not drinking themselves to death.

I find it interesting that heart related deaths have declined...a lot. I guess not having to sit next to that jerk in the office does have health benefits. Ha ha.


18 posted on 04/08/2020 11:35:56 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Aloysius88

Also, less medical negligence due to postponed elective procedures


19 posted on 04/08/2020 11:36:10 AM PDT by Cooter (Radicals always try to force crises because in a crisis, everyone must choose sides. - J. Goldberg)
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To: Aloysius88

Less flu. People are taking precautions social distancing, washing their hands

my hands have been the cleanest They’ve ever been

And yes less social Irresponsibility DWI murder etc.


22 posted on 04/08/2020 11:37:31 AM PDT by A_Former_Democrat
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To: Aloysius88

Simple answer, Chinese Virus saves lives.

So let’s get back to work....NOW!!


24 posted on 04/08/2020 11:38:09 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: Aloysius88

Less “highway” deaths? And maybe less of other deaths minimized by everyone staying in?

So, maybe the economy should just shut down every year from January 1 to June 1. A half-year economy. Half the size of the economy in December 2019.


26 posted on 04/08/2020 11:38:33 AM PDT by Wuli
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To: Aloysius88

That’s the average, what is the range?


28 posted on 04/08/2020 11:38:51 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: Aloysius88

If Fauci gets his way, we’ll be locked down until after the next election,
And we’ll ALL be vaccinated with Bill Gates Population Reduction vaccine.

THEN he can say his work here is done.


29 posted on 04/08/2020 11:38:54 AM PDT by EasySt (Say not this is the truth, but so it seems to me to be, as I see this thing I think I see #KAG)
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