covid 19 + Flu deaths are still WAY below Flu deaths alone in the 2017-2018 flu season.
The weekly numbers match the Jan 2018 peak. Both are about 6,000 deaths in one week. COVID is still rising and will double or perhaps triple that. The current pause in economic activity is helping reduce that peak, but we have to get back to work, it's not worth stopping the economy for months.
“covid 19 + Flu deaths are still WAY below Flu deaths alone in the 2017-2018 flu season.”
Really? How about you support that claim with some actual data. If you are talking absolute numbers, that’s a crock since it has been 5 weeks since the first US CCP-19 death, and flu season runs 6 months. So the comparison is bogus. If you are talking per day, CCP-19 daily deaths are running 3-4 times your flu daily deaths in the 2017-2018 season. Flu 2019 is not so different from flu 2017. And CCP-19 has already made up half the difference. In a week it will be chasing flu 2019, in two weeks flu 2019 will be in the rearview. Unless we maintain our mitigation strategy and keep it to brushfires here and there, rather than a nationwide conflagration
Picking the worst year for your baseline is dishonest. It shows you know the truth but don’t want to admit it.
How about we use the most recent pandemic?
In 15 months H1N1 killed 12,439 people in the US. In 5 weeks CCP-19 has killed 9,444 (as of this posting). We are at 0.76 H1N1s. In the month after the first death, H1N1 killed 10 to 15 people in the US. In the month after the first death CCP-19 killed 3,400 people in the US. So something like 225-340 times as many people.
It won’t be this bad, but if you multiply 12,439 by 225 you get 2,798,775 dead over the next 14 months. By 340 you get 4,229,260. That is what the unmitigated body count could look like if we do the FluBro let it rip thing and somehow, miraculously, our HCS doesn’t collapse. But realistically, the HCS would collapse, so would the economy and we’d end up with President Sanders and never, ever recover.