I would suggest that if we are still in a locked-down mode in July...you can bet that one-third of all commercial buildings will be shut-down and closed for the remainder of 2020, and probably going through most of 2021.
There are key mechanism of the economy which will suggest problems. For example....most toys for the Christmas period, are made in China. If production is 50-percent...go imagine what options you have for kids in November/December.
Go imagine movie studios and their production schedule, and the crowds that may or may not show up for the summer period. Why release a blockbuster in June, if only one-third of theaters are open?
Go look at Vegas and the casino effect in July and August.
My editor has already informed me that my book which was slated for a June release...is being pushed back into late August. And every manuscript deadline has been hit...
It’s a book! Not a movie, toy, or essential.