Posted on 03/30/2020 8:57:37 AM PDT by Biggirl
Good Morning/Afternoon,MEGAHOPERushYouAreBACKDITTOS!
(Excerpt) Read more at rushlimbaugh.com ...
Could be.
Hello all... Happy hump day, all...
I've made my share of analytical models in my career. Models are used to make decisions, not necessarily to predict exact outcomes.
Models are intended to take uncertain variables and combine them in ways that differentiate decision-based alternatives under uncertain conditions.
The reason that models are less predictive is that low/base/high probability assumptions are used, not necessarily the entire continuous range of values. The best alternatives will stand out from the rest, even if the actual values are off from reality, because the same assumptions are used to assess all the alternatives.
This is what is meant by "directionally correct," meaning the alternative is correct even if the actual values are off.
A model alternative that suggests 2 million deaths will be worse than an alternative that suggests 100,000 deaths, even if the actual worst-case deaths might be 1 million deaths and the best case is 50,000 deaths.
That's why we don't focus on what "the model says," we focus on the preferred alternatives and the conditions that make them so.
-PJ
All in the Family is still funny...
Yes it is!
Thanks for the explanation.
Exactly but very few people see it.
The scared old farts the permeate Fear Republic are all on board this fascist rule as long as they perceive it benefits them.
In with the ping. 
WWG1WGA
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
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Serving humanity simply by showing up, and he’s not retiring until every American agrees with him — do NOT doubt him — with shrieks of joy at the mere mention of his name (that’s Rush, for those in Rio Linda), the Mandarin of Talk Radio, with talent on loan from G-d, at the cutting-edge of societal evolution, with half his brain tied behind his back — just to make it fair.
The all-knowing, all-caring, all-sensing, all-feeling, all-concerned Maha-Rushie! America’s anchorman, truth detector, and doctor of democracy.
A real man, a living legend, a way of life. Commander-in-Chief of U.S. Operation Chaos. Chief Waga-Waga El Rushbo of the El Conservo Tribe. Chief of the Patriotism Police. Leader of the Conservative Movement. A Weapon of Mass Instruction. El Rushbo (a little Spanish lingo, there).
He is the man who is running America (you know it and I know it). He is ready to do what he was born to do — host. Get ready to what you were born to do — listen. And post your comments on the Rush Limbaugh LIVE Radio Show Thread.
Listen online to one of these stations.
___ Helping-Out When Needed ___
His studio is on his compound.
Bump!
Happy Corona Thursday!
Hello all, did I hear that Nancy is going to try to IMPEACH PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP on his response of ChinaVirus? The lady is crazy! She needs a padded room...
little adam schiff
So sick of this crap, where will I get fish, shrimp, perogis and cole slaw tomorrow?
What a treat this has been, listening to Rush every day this week. Prayers up for Rush that whatever treatment he starts next week will CURE him.
I don’t know if anything can cure lung cancer, but I pray it is halted and he is around for a very long time. We NEED him, now more than ever. The Mayor of Realville!
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