80,000 to 180,000
That low number is enough to scare the hell out of everybody.
That is the best case scenario. 1.5M to 2.2M is the high number.
And with all of the idiots doing their own thing (spring breakers etc) who thinks we are going to hit the low number?
True, but these are models based on certain assumptions. What would happen to those numbers if we develop a therapeutic to combat the virus? There are clinical trials going on now that could be a game changer. And more data will refine the models.
To put this in perspective, we lost 61,000 in a bad flu season.