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To: billyboy15

1. people who aren’t at the greatest risk are still at significant risk. People aged 20 to 44, a0.2, i.e. 2 out of every 1000 will die. That’s 100,000 deaths just in the US and just among people aged 20 to 44.

2. With those 100,000 deaths from people aged 20 to 44 in the US, you’d have about 4,000,000 people who would need medical care urgently. There is no capacity to provide that level of care to anywhere near that number of people. In the entire United States there are only about 925,000 hospital beds, most of which are full under normal conditions. Of those, only about 55,000 can provide intensive respiratory care. Without this, the death rate would go up into the millions even among low-risk groups.

3. And for isolation of the sick and old, just in the United States, that would mean isolating about 25 million people. The current isolation regime only works because most people aren’t infected. There’s no way to provide services to 25 million healthy people when everyone who could care for them is infected.


195 posted on 03/29/2020 8:55:35 AM PDT by Cronos (Re-elect President Trump 2020!)
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To: Cronos

Your numbers are pure guesswork and most certainly are assuming NOTHING is being done to mitigate the spread.

You are just another hysterical alarmist.

Thirty days.....thirty days and we will be on a strong down slope with this make believe pandemic.

This horses ass excuse for an Armageddon event will wind up being far less an “event” then the common flu going around now which has already killed almost 35,000 Americans. Of course it could be 75,000 because no one is paying it any attention and we aren’t testing for it....right?


292 posted on 03/29/2020 11:02:31 AM PDT by billyboy15
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