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Why On Earth Should Anyone Believe Communist China’s Coronavirus Statistics?
The Federalist ^ | 03/23/2020 | Helen Raleigh

Posted on 03/23/2020 7:38:39 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The world is hungry for some good news as the coronavirus outbreak continues to upend lives and cause serious damage to the world economy. As if by design, on March 19, Communist China reported “no new local infection of the novel coronavirus cases in the mainland for the first time since the start of the outbreak.”

Chinese state media lauded the Communist Party’s leadership for achieving this important milestone while the rest of the world is struggling to contain the outbreak. But why on earth should anyone believe in Beijing’s numbers when it was Beijing’s cover-ups and delays that resulted in the spread of this deadly virus in the first place?

To understand Communist China’s cover-ups and delays, all you have to do is to go through the timeline of the early weeks of the coronavirus outbreak. South China Morning Post reports that the Chinese government’s own data shows the first case of someone suffering from Covid-19 could be traced back to November 17, 2019. From that day until Dec. 27, the city of Wuhan saw an increased number of cases.

By Dec. 27, the central government’s health officials were informed of a new coronavirus that was causing illness, Wuhan had 180 confirmed cases. Yet Beijing waited until Dec. 30 to notify the World Health Organization’s China office, and did nothing to inform the Chinese people.

On the same day, when early whistleblowers including Wuhan Dr. Ai Fen and Dr. Li Wenliang tried to inform their colleagues and social circles about a suspicious new, SARs-like virus, they were reprimanded for “spreading rumors” by Wuhan police.

On Jan. 5, Chinese researchers in Shanghai mapped out the virus’s entire genome and recommended “appropriate prevention and control measures in public places.” But Beijing ignored this recommendation and didn’t publicly disclose the genome until Jan. 9. As late as Jan. 11, Wuhan authorities still insisted the province had only 44 confirmed cases.

The last time Wuhan health officials reported no new cases was from Jan. 11 to 17, when the Hubei provincial level Communist Party meeting was held in Wuhan. The Chinese Communist Party is known to suppress bad news for the sake of appearances whenever the party elites meet.

Even after the first-known case outside China was reported in Thailand on Jan. 13, the head of the China disease control emergency centers said on television Jan. 15 that “the risk of human-to-human transmission is low.” The general public, unaware of the risks, took no initial precautions and went about their business, including attending mass banquets. By the time Beijing announced a lockdown on Jan. 23rd, five million people had left Wuhan and the worldwide spread of the virus became unstoppable.

Why does revisiting the timeline in those early weeks matter? A new study published this month shows that “if interventions in the country could have been conducted one week, two weeks, or three weeks earlier, cases could have been reduced by 66 percent, 86 percent and 95 percent respectively – significantly limiting the geographical spread of the disease.”

In other words, had Communist China taken action at the end of December and the beginning of January, fewer people would have gotten sick and died, no country would have had to close its borders, and most of us would be able to continue to live a normal life, not worrying about stocking up on toilet paper.

In addition to its early cover-up and delay, Communist China’s behavior since the outbreak became known worldwide doesn’t build trust, either. Internationally, Communist China has launched a disinformation campaign to blame the United States for the Wuhan flu. Beijing also expelled number of American journalists so fewer foreign reporters are on the ground to verify Beijing’s claims.

Domestically, Chinese government censors, working with social media companies such as Tencent, began to censor coronavirus-related postings as early Dec. 2019, shutting down news sites and online forums, blocking certain keywords related to coronavirus outbreak, deleting online postings critical of party leader Xi Jinping and the government’s handling of the virus, including an interview of one of the early whistleblowers, Dr. Ai Fen.

Other online posts and hashtags related to demands for freedom of speech and a free press have also been quickly deleted. Since January, three Chinese citizen journalists have gone missing. They are presumed to have been detained by Chinese authorities after posting videos on social media documenting the reality of the ongoing pandemic.

While suppressing negative reports, the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) propaganda machine is eager to claim victory and portray party leader Xi and the CCP in the most shining light. The CCP sent 300 state media reporters to tell “positive” and “uplifting” stories in Wuhan. On March 10, Xi showed up in Wuhan in a highly staged visit. There was no footage showing him walking inside the lockdown communities like other senior party officials did. Instead, he talked to health-care workers through video conferencing.

Those who are well-versed in the CCP’s history know that Xi didn’t show up at Wuhan to see how things are going. His visit was to lay down a marker. It was meant to send the message that from that day on, all news coverage about Wuhan and the coronavirus outbreak in China has to be positive and show real or imaginary progress.

Not surprisingly, since his visit state media has churned out reports about how life is getting better and things are going back to normal in Wuhan and other parts of China. Now we are told there are no new cases in China.

Xinhua, a state-owned media organization and mouthpiece of the CCP, praised the way Beijing’s “unified and highly efficient command system” with “transparency, timely activation and adjustment of response levels by provinces,” has enabled the country to “efficiently contained the spread of the deadly virus” in less than two months. The truth is, if there are still new cases, local officials wouldn’t dare report them after Xi’s visit.

But this time, Beijing’s all-powerful propaganda machine is having a hard time selling its “positive” narratives to the Chinese people. There is widespread furor among Chinese people over how poorly Beijing handled and communicated the outbreak. Many Chinese people, including some journalists who work for state media, simply don’t buy the government’s lies anymore.

Even though Beijing keeps tightening its control over dissent, Chinese people are speaking up any way they can. Early this month, when Vice-Premier Sun Chunlan was walking through a lockdown community in Wuhan in another highly staged visit (residents were forbidden to come out to meet her), several brave residents shouted “fake, everything is fake” because they had been low on groceries and their community’s common area hadn’t been cleaned since the lockdown. The local government organized fake volunteers to deliver groceries and cleaned up the community right before Sun’s visit.

Are things really getting better in China? Has Beijing truly contained the virus? We hope so, but we have no way to verify it. And if Chinese people don’t trust their own government’s narrative, why on earth should anyone else believe what Beijing says?


Helen Raleigh is a senior contributor to The Federalist. An immigrant from China, she is the owner of Red Meadow Advisors, LLC, and an immigration policy fellow at the Centennial Institute in Colorado. She is the author of several books, including "Confucius Never Said" and "The Broken Welcome Mat."


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; coronavirus; statistics
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1 posted on 03/23/2020 7:38:39 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I certainly have not since a couple weeks after they were Covid 19 originator and epicenter. But yeah, lamestream media does not might peddling China’s ‘truths’........gg. /s


2 posted on 03/23/2020 7:40:56 AM PDT by cranked
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To: SeekAndFind

Seditionist Democrat: "We absolutely believe in our Communist Chinese paylords.
While we Democrats are in charge, you can count on us for 'Death to America'."


3 posted on 03/23/2020 7:43:13 AM PDT by Diogenesis ( WWG1WGA)
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To: SeekAndFind

Happens on free republic every day…


4 posted on 03/23/2020 7:44:47 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
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To: SeekAndFind

I admit, I don’t trust them.

But there is an odd pattern here:

China has low numbers — they must be lying.
Russia has low numbers — they must be lying.
India has low numbers — they must be lying.

We are a nation of 330 million people and we have 200 dead. Are we lying? Or maybe this thing is hyped?


5 posted on 03/23/2020 7:45:39 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: SeekAndFind

Of course CCP stats cannot be trusted. Then again can we trust any stats coming out of the US Government?


6 posted on 03/23/2020 7:46:15 AM PDT by buckalfa (Post no bills.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Socialists believe socialists ... though they know they are lying to everyone else.

It’s a special kind of stupid the Left has.


7 posted on 03/23/2020 7:46:21 AM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosoper)
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To: Diogenesis

When impeachment failed after other attempts, the virus is the new effort for mount a coup. And if this fails, there will be a new effort, then another effort.

They did say they’d Resist. And they sure have.

At some point, resistance must be BRUTALLY broken....

I’m afraid that the right doesn’t have the guts to defend the nation from the left.


8 posted on 03/23/2020 7:47:01 AM PDT by Professional
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To: SeekAndFind

Does anyone trust WHO (World Health Organization), who apparently were way off on the death rate, starting a market panic and global meltdown as some have said?


9 posted on 03/23/2020 7:47:15 AM PDT by Its All Over Except ... (If You Haven't Realized You Are In Clown World Then You Have Spent Too Much Time At The Circus)
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To: Diogenesis

Money to the Clinton Foundation sure dried up once pay (now) to play (then) was no longer a thing.


10 posted on 03/23/2020 7:47:32 AM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosoper)
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To: buckalfa

“Then again can we trust any stats coming out of the US Government?”

8888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888

No.


11 posted on 03/23/2020 7:49:16 AM PDT by sport
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To: ClearCase_guy

Actually, given that those with weakened immune systems are vulnerable I wouldn’t be surprised if some of the reporting is being kept low to avoid attracting attention to homosexuals as disease vectors, sort of the flip side to how Italy was reporting any death as CV19 when that may have not been the only thing.


12 posted on 03/23/2020 7:50:45 AM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosoper)
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To: cranked

the chinese lie.

to your face, so that they can “save face”

it is what they do.

I have many stories of them lying about problems, etc from my travels there, and my dealings with chinese manufacturers, in the past.


13 posted on 03/23/2020 7:50:54 AM PDT by QualityMan
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To: SeekAndFind

Why? Maybe because of this:

Michael Levitt, a Nobel laureate and Stanford biophysicist, began analyzing the number of COVID-19 cases worldwide in January and correctly calculated that China would get through the worst of its coronavirus outbreak long before many health experts had predicted.
Now he foresees a similar outcome in the United States and the rest of the world.


14 posted on 03/23/2020 8:04:12 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Epstein pulled a Carradine, the bozo.)
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To: buckalfa

My contact in Hong Kong says the CCP is lying through their teeth. He hears a lot different stories from his extended family in china.

Says he has to be real careful of what he tells me as all communication is watched closely.


15 posted on 03/23/2020 8:07:19 AM PDT by oldasrocks (Heavily Medicated for your Protection.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Yeah. You really have to be of an uncritical minded person or a complete dope not to see that the Chicoms intentions. Or an allie.


16 posted on 03/23/2020 8:07:34 AM PDT by HighSierra5
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To: SeekAndFind

Actually is FOX News that is lying this morning. They report that the USA is third most infected country in the world which is total BS.

In cases per million population the USA is down near the bottom of countries with enough cases to analyze.


17 posted on 03/23/2020 8:08:19 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Epstein pulled a Carradine, the bozo.)
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To: oldasrocks

Look at the Live WebCam of Wuhan, it is still a ghost town.


18 posted on 03/23/2020 8:09:06 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: HighSierra5

China did the beginning of the outbreak, which caused massive problems. But once the Canadians went there to assist the numbers started to make sense and have made sense the rest of the way.

People need to read what Michael Levitt is saying and stop spreading panic.


19 posted on 03/23/2020 8:11:12 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Epstein pulled a Carradine, the bozo.)
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To: SaxxonWoods

The above should read “China HID the beginning of the outbreak...”


20 posted on 03/23/2020 8:12:01 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Epstein pulled a Carradine, the bozo.)
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