Two weeks ago I don’t recall Italy doing anything like we are.
Italy’s northern neighbors - Switzerland, Germany, and Austria - have 10,000 infected persons, but only 31 deaths.
Italy Case Fatality Rate - 7.3%
Switz-Ger-Austria CFR - 0.3%
NO WAY! Apples and CABBAGE! or Apples and Gasoline.
SCARE TACTICS
Except that there is NO country on the planet that has anything even close to the infections rates in Italy.
Two weeks ago, Italy and South Korea had about the same numbers of infections.
Today, Italy has 25,000 infections, while South Korea has only 8,000 infections and have managed to essentially contain new infections.
The US population is 5-1/2 times the size of Italy.
Italy’s population is older.
The US has better healthcare.
The US has more acute care beds per 1000 than Italy
Italy has a denser population.
Italy reported its first death on 2/21. 16 days later they reported 233 deaths.
The US reported it’s first death on 3/1. 16 days later we reported 70 deaths.
We aren’t Italy.
I worked in Public Health for 30 years. I have been watching the “cases per 1 million population” statistic carefully. The US number is much lower than almost any other nation’s. It will continue to rise, or course, with every new case, but it is going up slowly and is far behind almost everyone else in the world.
I think Trump’s move of shutting down most travel from China very early on will wind up being the savior of the United States.
“When you look at the projections, there’s every chance that we could be Italy.”
What does “every chance” mean?
“projections” plural
What are the projections?
Do the projections have a wide range of possible outcomes?
What are the worst case, average case and best case scenarios?
I suspect that if we were given all the data on all the projections we would see possible infection totals between thousands and hundreds of thousands (maybe millions) and totals deaths with a similar wide range.
I thought we were a week behind. Are we losing ground?
~1,800 deaths in Italy so far from Coronavirus. In 2009-2010, we experienced 9,000 - 18,000 deaths from H1N1 and we never shut down a business, a school or every sporting event. 30,000 Americans will die from the flu this year and no one bats an eye.
This is a coup by pandemic. We are willingly allowing our economy to be destroyed by those who will do and say anything to effect the demise of our president. If we shut down the economy for two weeks, the media will find a way to scare us into extending it for a month, then two months, for the children. Once collapse is achieved, we will hold an election.