“When you look at the projections, there’s every chance that we could be Italy.”
What does “every chance” mean?
“projections” plural
What are the projections?
Do the projections have a wide range of possible outcomes?
What are the worst case, average case and best case scenarios?
I suspect that if we were given all the data on all the projections we would see possible infection totals between thousands and hundreds of thousands (maybe millions) and totals deaths with a similar wide range.
Someone “leaked” a CDC projection of 1.7 million deaths in a worst-case scenario.
I suppose they have to game out every scenario.
But worst-case is rarely what happens in the real world.