Most of those in Germany and SK (and most everywhere else) cases have not resolved. It is not logical to assume they will all resolve favorably.
I see you included the German data to dilute the worsening SK numbers. It is still way too early to count those chickens.
Can you please source your smoking rate data for China, as it seems way high compared to what I’ve seen?
The problem in Italy is that the HCS collapsed in Lombardy, not the number of Chinese that may or may not be present. That happened because the Italians didn’t take the situation seriously enough at first, even when other countries were closing borders and banning travel. They have their own set of butflubros. Spain and Germany and France and Austria, the same. In Iran they thought they could stare down and troll the virus. They are reaping the rewards of their ignorance and stupidity.
Countries with massive containment efforts are getting things under control. South Korea seems to have it contained, but they have a backlog of unresolved cases, as I mentioned. Their fatality rate will only go up since their infections are not increasing very much due to widespread testing and contact tracing.
Containment is key. Butflubros are spreaders.
People are starting to realize this is a war that we have to fight. Don’t be the antiwar protester.
Here are some facts for ya...
Flu is all over the USA, flu deaths in USA have no bearing on how many will die from this virus.
The vast majority of USA has no virus in the population, so it is stupid to count the whole USA population when figuring likely death rates for this virus.
What people are doing is like trying extrapolate the likely death rate from auto accidents and using a population that doesn’t drive or ride in cars for 3/4 of the figures.