I think death rate matters less than the number who need/will need ventilators and ICU beds.
The capacity of the health-care system is the main thing that is dictating the effort to slow down the spread.
Why on earth would you think we will need this many ventilators AND ICU beds MOST people are recovering at home with mild conditions!! The big job here is for families to take care of their elderly run their errands cancel their Dr. appointments go to the pharmacy for them ect. Be very careful of who gets around them!!