Posted on 03/07/2020 6:23:07 AM PST by david1292
Four GOP-held Senate seats are currently being led by Democrats, with at least a four-point margin, according to new polls from Public Policy Polling (PPP).
The polling found Sara Gideon with a four-point lead over incumbent Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) at 47-43 in the Maine Senate race and Mark Kelly leading Sen. Martha McSally (R-AR) 47-42 in the Arizona Senate race.
In the poll conducted in Maine, Collins’ approval rating sits at 33 percent, with 57 percent of voters expressing disapproval of her job performance. In the Arizona poll, PPP found McSally to have a 37 percent job approval rating while 46 percent stated they disapprove of her performance in office.
Kelly, who is running to unseat McSally, received a greater favorability rating of 41 percent, while 29 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.
The poll also found a correlation between President Donald Trump’s approval rating in Arizona and Maine with that of McSally and Collins. The poll noted, “In Maine only 42 percent of voters approve of the job he’s doing to 56 percent who disapprove, and in Arizona only 45 percent of voters approve of the job he’s doing to 51 percent who disapprove.”
In addition to the results found in Maine and Arizona, Public Policy Polling also found Cal Cunningham with a lead over incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) at 46-41 in the North Carolina Senate race and John Hickenlooper with a lead over Cory Gardner (R-CO) at 51-38 in the Colorado Senate race.
Should the Democrats successfully take these four GOP seats currently held by Collins, McSally, Tillis, and Gardner, and lose in Alabama where Sen. Doug Jones’ (D-AL) seat is at stake—assuming nothing else changes – the Vice President next year would cast the tie-breaking vote to decide the majority.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
I thought of that possibility after I’d posted.
We of course have our version of that on the East Coast, with NJ through MA migrating south to FL to NC.
I would be shocked to see big turnout and a Trump landslide (as I expect) but then a senate and house loss. Doesn’t make sense all the MAGA people would split their ticket. But then again, the milquetoast down ticket has shocked me before?
I DO expect unrestrained DemonRat election fraud across the board.
Stupid and selfish and weak GOP. Most of those pols were paid off.
I think Susan Collins will pull it out in Maine and Tom Tillis will win in North Carolina. So that leaves us with 52-48. Still enough for Turtle to continue confirming federal judges.
You're correct but that isn't the point of these polls. Election fraud doesn't happen six months ahead. Not openly, anyway.
These numbers are to convince the public that the Democrats are viable. Other than Hickenlooper, what does the general public know about the other three Dems? It will be up to each GOP senatorial candidate to find the unpopular positions of the other and hammer these home through debates and advertising. First thing I'd do is get the Dem challenger on record supporting Nancy Pelosi and more impeachment. I expect most (maybe not Collins) will get a visit from Trump sometime next fall, too.
Also, remember that almost all the "mainstream" polls weight 5-7% more Democrats than Republicans even though more recent results have shown that there are more Republicans today than Democrats.
Liberal pollsters like PPP want to perpetuate the myth of a Democrat majority.
The fine print at the PPP site reveals these are “voters”, not even likely voters. The Maine poll has a majority of Dem respondents (I didn’t look at the other states). The article omits to mention that Trump has a higher favorability rating than Biden or Sanders in the Maine poll.
Arizona would be our only loss.
McSally seems to have found a spine. She needs to stick to that.
If a gun grabber like “Commander Mark” wins in AZ, we’ll know there’s something wrong with the process...
Stupid and selfish and weak GOP.
**************
Yes, a trifecta of failure. The GOP is a soulless party devoid of any principles or convictions.
It is basically a fake party.
I could easily see Pierre pull a Jeffords and hand the Senate to the rats. If it was 50-50 he would probably do it because he would still be part of the majority after he did it.
Alabama is a definite flip for GOP. Michigan (John James) could be a flip. Long shots: NH, Virginia, Minnesota.
Cunningham in NC is getting major ad buys - probably funded by out of state CASH - so Sen. Tillis is in for the fight of his life. He CAN WIN but NC is rapidly turning blue.
I had thought that the President would hold another rally in NC to really give Sen. Tillis a lift - but with this virus I don’t even know if President Trump will be able to hold many more rallies. Which saddens and alarms me greatly.
A party of sellouts. But we’ve got the two-party system so firmly entrenched right now that Trump’s of course heroic to have been able to use it as far as he has for rescue and good.
PPP is about the most inaccurate polling organization in existent.
Best to ignore...
Keep the Senate majority. Take the House. Trump 2020!
As a progressive firm, we understand and support our clients’ goals, so when you hire PPP, you know you have a partner that is fully invested in your organization. Our team will work with you every step of the way to help you confidently leverage public opinion for your cause.
If Tillis fights hard, gets enough money and ask President Trump to campaign for him, he should win. Right now, NC lean red even though they’re having a lot of transplants moving into the state.
We’re believing polls now?
Public Policy Polling is, quite literally owned by the Democratic party and is part of their propaganda machine. I wouldn’t believe anything they publish.
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