Posted on 02/27/2020 5:16:25 AM PST by Kaslin
After Richard Nixon's landslide 1972 victory over Democratic opponent George McGovern, New Yorker film critic Pauline Kael gave a speech in which she said: "I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon. Where they are I don't know. They're outside my ken. But sometimes when I'm in a theater I can feel them."
2020 Democrats, at least the sensible ones, find themselves in a full-blown panic over the prospect of a nominee who is outside their ken. How scared are they? About the prospect of Sen. Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic ticket, top Democratic strategist James Carville said: "I'm 75 years old. Why am I here doing this? Because I am scared to death, that's why. Let's get relevant here ... All the Sanders people are taking pictures wishing (British Labour Party leader) Jeremy Corbyn the best. I don't want to go down that path!"
He added: "We've got to decide what we want to be. Do we want to be an ideological cult? Or do we want to have a majoritarian instinct to be a majority party? What we need is power, you understand? That's what this is about. Without power, you have nothing. You just have talking points."
Rational Democratic strategists like Carville find themselves in a full-blown panic over polls showing that a growing number of Democrats prefer Sanders to lead the 2020 Democratic ticket. Even worse for Democrats, Sanders' supporters are either passionate true believers or do not believe that Sanders faces electoral disaster -- or do not care as long as his policies are promoted.
Trump enjoys a 94% approval rating among Republicans, but Democrats split their support between the Bernie Sanders/Elizabeth Warren hard-left wing of the party and the so-called moderates. The percentage of the Iowa vote captured by Sanders and Warren came to 44%. But the percentage of the votes received by Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar and Joe Biden comes to 54%. Similarly, New Hampshire saw Buttigieg/Klobuchar/Biden getting 53%, with the Sanders/Warren vote fetching 35%. In the Nevada caucus, Sanders did even better, capturing almost 47% of the vote, but the combined percentage of the Biden/Buttigieg/Klobuchar vote came to just under 39%. Good luck converting those voters to Sanders voters after Biden/Buttigieg/Klobuchar characterized Sanders as a wacky socialist who does not know or does not care about the price tag for his many programs.
Still worse for Democrats is that Trump is enjoying the highest approval ratings of his presidency. Gallup recently said: "President Donald Trump's job approval rating has risen to 49%, his highest in Gallup polling since he took office in 2017...Trump's approval rating has risen because of higher ratings among both Republicans and independents. His 94% approval rating among Republicans is up six percentage points from early January and is three points higher than his previous best among his fellow partisans. The 42% approval rating among independents is up five points, and ties three other polls as his best among that group. Democratic approval is 7%, down slightly from 10%."
Former vice president and former front-runner Joe Biden is betting his flailing candidacy on doing well in the upcoming South Carolina primary. But Biden, whose front-runner status has been built on black support, is watching a severe erosion among those voters. FiveThirtyEight wrote: "In an average of national polls, Biden's support among black voters has dropped about 12 percentage points from before the Iowa caucuses to the post-New Hampshire period. Conversely, during the same period, Bloomberg and Sanders ... each gained 10 points among black voters. And recent polls show Biden dropping fast among all voters while Sanders and Bloomberg are gaining ground."
So, Biden is a dead man walking. He looks confused and disoriented. At a recent South Carolina breakfast speech, Biden said: "My name's Joe Biden. I'm a Democratic candidate for the United States Senate. Look me over. If you like what you see, help out. If not, vote for the other Biden. Give me a look, though, OK?" Senate? The other Biden? And The Washington Post awarded him four Pinocchios, as bad a rating as it gives, for Biden's recent claim that, when in the Senate, he got arrested for attempting to visit an imprisoned Nelson Mandela in South Africa. Biden also said that, when freed, Mandela thanked Biden for the attempted visit. There is not evidence for either claim.
His argument has always been "electability," yet he cannot win a caucus or primary in his own party. A third of Americans disapprove of gay marriage, making the prospects of a Buttigieg nomination unlikely, quite apart from his thin resume as a mayor of a small town. Mike Bloomberg cannot win the nomination of a party where so many despise billionaires and would not, under any circumstances, vote for a multibillionaire late entrant who "bought his way in."
This leaves Amy Klobuchar as last Democratic moderate standing. But the passion is with the surging Bernie Sanders. All signs, at this juncture, suggest that Republicans in November will party like it's 1972.
Remember not to become complacent. Make it your business to vote.
I turned 18 a few days before the 72 election and couldn’t wait to vote for Nixon. I knew then what a commie McGovern was. I hope there are enough young people that aren’t fooled by the old commie Burny to turn the tide this time.
1972?
Unless it’s 1918
Hmmm.... Fauxcahantus not even worth a mention.
No. 1776!
It won’t be like 1972.
Not by a long shot. In 1972 our population of True Believers in socialism was a tiny fraction of what it is now. Today I’d estimate it’s somewhere close to 40% of the population with another 7-8% who could be persuaded to go along.
The only reason Trump will win is that there are still enough of us voters left alive who remember 1972. That will inevitably change over time. This is a much tougher fight than anyone out there seems to think.
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For further info, contact: www.donaldjtrump.com
SUPPORT POTUS, DONALD J.TRUMP...100%!!!
Kim Jong-un would win California, New York, Vermont, Oregon, and Washington if he were the D nominee. Take nothing for granted...
Kim Jong-un would win California, New York, Vermont, Oregon, and Washington if he were the D nominee.
Add Illinois, Maryland, Connecticut, Delaware and Rhode Island.
Rasmussen has Trump beating Bernie by 8. What that really means is Trump beating Bernie by 12 - 15. It won’t be close.
Get complacent, and you’ll also lose the downstream races.
The current slate of Dem candidates does not look so good.
But don't forget the elephant in the room: Hillary
She would be the darling of a brokered convention, if it comes down to that.
She has the support of the Dem establishment, the mainstream media, along with the liars, cheaters and stealers, who will be out in full force this year.
Sure, the Bernie-bots will be angry and may even cause a stir, but in the end, if the Dem establishment wants Hillary, despite the will of the primary voters, that's who they will put on the ticket.
So she selects him as VP, and embraces one of his prized initiatives, like free 2 yr college
Add Mass, Maine 1 and New Mexico.
New Hampshire, Maine, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado. Maybe Virginia.
The Democrats will try to tank the economy if they can. The Never-Trumpers in the Republican Party might try running a hopeless third-party candidate in hopes of tipping a few states away from Trump.
1972 was my first election, but I voted third party. I also voted third party in 1992 and 2012. I don’t know who’s running in 2032, but if this trend continues, I’ll be voting third party again.
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