See my posts elsewhere on this. There is no historical precedent for a sitting elected president to lose their bid for re-election, in a strong economy... period.
There have been 4 presidents in the last 120 years who were elected, ran for re-election and failed to be re elected. 3 lost for to economics and the 4th was scandal plagued.
The historical odds of any democrat winning in 2020 are about as good as a snowballs in hell.
Short of a complete economic collapse before the fall or another black swan event of that magnitude.
The only person who can beat Trump otherwise is the same person who could beat him in 16. Trump himself. As long as he is perceived as putting America First he’s got it locked. If however he were to do something to make his base feel otherwise that would cost him re election.
There have been 4 presidents in the last 120 years who were elected, ran for re-election and failed to be re elected. 3 lost for to economics and the 4th was scandal plagued.
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Nope. This statement DOES NOT APPLY to Bush I.