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To: bitt; neverdem; ProtectOurFreedom; Mother Abigail; EBH; vetvetdoug; Smokin' Joe; Global2010; ...
Instead, patients there would be counted as having contracted the virus only when confirmed by a specialized nucleic acid test.

And they just won't have anywhere near enough test kits to cover everyone with ground glass lungs, and the ones they do get have shown a 70% false negative rate.

They've kinked the graph before, and the new criteria did not stop the upward trend once the kink happened.

Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.

8 posted on 02/20/2020 1:31:07 AM PST by null and void (By the pricking of my lungs, Something wicked this way comes ...)
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To: null and void

ground glass appearance on a CT is very no specific. I have see. many chest CTs done for no infectious reasons come back with an incidental finding of ground glass infiltrates is a normal non sick individual. It just means there are some hazy areas on the scan and basically means nothing. It is not diagnostic of infection let alone a specific infection.


11 posted on 02/20/2020 2:04:31 AM PST by Mom MD
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To: null and void
null and void : "they just won't have anywhere near enough test kits to cover everyone
... and the ones they do get have shown a 70% false negative rate."

This doesn't encourage control of the coronavirus
especially with the large numbers of 70% of false negative results.
A better and more precise method must be found.

37 posted on 02/20/2020 8:27:57 AM PST by Tilted Irish Kilt
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