Posted on 02/11/2020 9:10:58 AM PST by Zhang Fei
For all the breathless coverage, the New Hampshire Democratic primary is truly dinky awarding only 24 pledged delegates, one percent of the 1,990 needed to win. That is even fewer than Iowa. Its barely worth fighting for, except that, especially in the wake of the Iowa fiasco, New Hampshire will punch above its weight.
The first four contests, including Nevada, will award a total of 155 pledged delegates. If the candidates perform as predicted by todays polls, Sanders will lead on the cusp of Super Tuesday with 34 delegates, followed by Biden (33), Buttigieg (25) and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) (20). Activist Tom Steyer could pick up 10 delegates in South Carolina, where he has talked up policies like reparations that are particularly popular with black voters. Klobuchar could nab a few along the way.
It is important to remember that the March 3 contests dwarf the haul from the four early states. On Super Tuesday Democratic candidates, including, for the first time, Mike Bloomberg, will compete for 1,345 pledged delegates. The biggest states up for grabs are California, with 416 delegates, Texas, with 228, and North Carolina, with 110.
In California today, Sanders and Biden both have over 20 percent of the vote, with Bloomberg far behind at only 4 percent. But, with 800 staffers in the state, his huge ad spend, and his growing list of endorsements from more than 50 party officials in the state, Bloomberg is gaining ground fast. In Texas, he is only at 7 percent, but is quickly opening a slew of offices and, as in California, racking up endorsements. Biden and Sanders lead in North Carolina, where Bloomberg is beginning to run ads; one recent poll gave him 14 percent of the vote.
Dont underestimate the power of limitless money.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Individual Income Tax ChangesThat's why Bloomberg is spending possibly billions to run for president. Because if Sanders wins, Bloomberg's Federal tax bill for a single year alone will exceed his presidential campaign spending.
Adds four new income tax brackets for high-income households, with rates of 37 percent, 43 percent, 48 percent, and 52 percent.
Taxes capital gains and dividends at ordinary income rates for households with income over $250,000.
Creates a new 2.2 percent income-based [health care] premium paid by households. This is equivalent to increasing all tax bracket rates by 2.2 percentage points, and would raise the top marginal income tax rate to 54.2 percent.
Will bloomers get the vote of the black people he claims are committing all the crimes?
Or not
Our next President will buy the election with the promise of free money to all who vote for him ... the first 500 will get $1,000,000 each tax free. The rest will be in the $1000-$10,000 range depending on their SJW score.
[Life moves fast! I think he’s gonna be too busy putting out racial fires this week and next. ]
"This is happening because of whitey's oppression and if we get reparations, it will stop."
Losing the black vote in N.H. won’t hurt him much, assuming lesser percentages of other than white races outside of the big cities.
White alone 12,147 76.6%
Hispanic 6,790 10.9%
Asian alone 4,635 6.1%
.
Black alone 2,444 2.2%
two or more races 210 2.2%
American Indian alone 140 0.2%
Other race alone 0.1%
Read more: http://www.city-data.com/city/Manchester-New-Hampshire.html
Poll | Date | Sample |
Sanders
|
Biden
|
Warren
|
Bloomberg
|
Buttigieg
|
Klobuchar
|
Yang
|
Steyer
|
Gabbard
|
Bennet
|
Patrick
|
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 2/2 - 2/9 | -- | 23.8 | 19.8 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 10.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | Sanders +4.0 |
Monmouth | 2/6 - 2/9 | 357 RV | 26 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Sanders +10 |
Quinnipiac | 2/5 - 2/9 | 665 RV | 25 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Sanders +8 |
Morning Consult | 2/4 - 2/9 | 15346 RV | 25 | 22 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Sanders +3 |
Economist/YouGov | 2/2 - 2/4 | 616 RV | 19 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Biden +5 |
Morning Consult | 1/27 - 2/2 | 15259 RV | 24 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Biden +4 |
Harvard-Harris | 1/27 - 1/29 | 980 RV | 20 | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -- | -- | Biden +11 |
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 1/26 - 1/29 | 428 LV | 27 | 26 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Sanders +1 |
Economist/YouGov | 1/26 - 1/28 | 591 RV | 24 | 26 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Biden +2 |
IBD/TIPP | 1/23 - 1/30 | 336 RV | 19 | 26 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Biden +7 |
Quinnipiac | 1/22 - 1/27 | 827 RV | 21 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Biden +5 |
I think Tulsi might surprise everyone.
The Hill has started the MSM Bloomberg Coverup.
Look for this to be the talking points for the next couple weeks.
[The Hill has started the MSM Bloomberg Coverup.
Look for this to be the talking points for the next couple weeks.]
Overall, non-black Democrats probably agree with Bloomberg on crime. He won re-election in NYC twice despite intense black opposition to stop-and-frisk. Blacks are 1/4 of NYCs voters. Thats roughly what they are in the Democratic primaries.
“dinky”? It’s proportionate to its population. What would this author say about Rhode Island?
Bernie will win of course.
The evening coverage will be entertaining.
“Geriatric Communist Wins NH!”
[dinky? Its proportionate to its population. What would this author say about Rhode Island?]
Bloomberg has no such constraints on his campaign. What is true of Bloomberg that is true of no other Democratic candidate is that he has run large organizations before, and he understands how to deploy both cash and people effectively. He crushed Reuters and Thomson in the financial news business despite Reuters having a head start of well over 100 years. Bloomberg LP’s current head count is 20,000 employees.
He also served as NYC’s mayor for 12 years, during which he smacked down NYC’s 25% black minority when they protested his aggressive stop-and-frisk tactics that brought NYC’s murder rate to a low it hadn’t seen in 50 years. He also brought NYC’s public employee unions to heel and limited both their salary gains and attempted cash grabs. While this record is a problem in terms of getting the Democratic nomination, they will help in nabbing independent voters if he does become the Democratic nominee. IMO, the contest for the Democratic nomination will funnel into a 2-horse race - between Bloomberg and Sanders.
Yeah, maybe.
But in any state with a lot of Black voters he ain’t gonna do so well: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3815535/posts
I think Rachel Dratch is going to surprise everyone in NH.
So they would rather have us believe that 2147 people voted Democrat and over 31000 voted Republican?
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