I asked my son, who has a PHD in Microbiology (focus on genetic engineering) about the idea that this is a man-made virus. this is his response:
Dad,
Long story short: This is outside my wheelhouse, but what I see doesn’t convince me of much.
The relevant publication (at-least one of them) might be: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.30.927871v1.full.pdf
The paper claims that there are a few dozen genomic sequences from the current virus on NCBI: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/
Indeed, such files are available: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/genome/genomes/86693?
I pulled all of the spike glycoprotein sequences:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/protein/QHN73795.1
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/protein/QHN73810.1
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/protein/QHO60594.1
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/protein/QHO62877.1
They all appeared to be identical.
I used a portion of the protein sequence in a ProteinBlast (https://blast.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/Blast.cgi?PAGE=Proteins), which indicated that it was closely related to other known coronaviruses (e.g. SARS, and a bat coronavirus).
I then retrieved one version of the HIV GAG sequence (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/protein/AAD39400.1), and attempted to align it with each of the spike glycoprotein sequences with SIM Align (https://web.expasy.org/sim/). This allignement didn’t show an impressive degree of similarity.
I tried the same thing with GP120 (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/protein/NP_579894.2), which was similarly unimpressive.
I’m not sure how much similarity we’re expecting, but there are only a few residues in a row that are ever identical. The degree of similarity may be a fluke, or it may be statistically significant, but it’s far from the case that 2019-nCoV has been convincingly spliced together from HIV.
It might be more-impressive if there was overlap in the DNA sequences of 2019-nCoV and HIV. So, I pulled the actual genomic sequence for both an ran another allignment, this time with Clustal Omega. The results may be available here: https://www.ebi.ac.uk/Tools/services/web/toolresult.ebi?jobId=clustalo-I20200131-215248-0865-94258030-p2m
That actually shows some more -interesting stuff... HIV is a lot smaller than 2019-nCoV, so most of the genomes don’t overlap. The program is able to generate some weak overlap for virtually all of the HIV genome, but there’s a 1-in-4 that any given base pair can be matched, so that’s not a surprise. The odd thing is that there are some portions of the HIV genome that fail to allign at all to 2019-nCoV. It’s probably just a statistical anomaly.
If someone wanted to make some sort of hybrid HIV/Coronavirus, they went to great pains to make it subtle in 2019-nCoV.
Thanks! Good to know!
However, real life is even more fascinating, and sometimes frightening.
The 3D model is much more convincing.
3 of the inserted regions appear to be conserved on the same ‘finger’ of the spike protein. They aren’t randomly distributed throughout. Which would make sense, even IF this was a natural occurrence.
I find it unlikely, myself, that 4 inserted regions (from any other source, not just HIV-1) of the length involved here (not the 5aa one poster insinuated, more like 8 or 10aa) would simultaneously result in a gain of function mutant. Things work the other way, generally. Ie, significant insertion/SNP breaks the thing altogether. (see sickle cell).
Thank you also for posting that. It also debunks that junk science in the article. Just finding an uncanny resemblance is not proof of anything as your sons report shows. Random recombination of the RNA can account for such uncanny similarity resemblances. That does not justify jumping to conclusions about viral engineering of weaponized biowarfare.
I am reminded of 3M and POST-IT NOTES.
They were trying to make a 'super' glue. One of the failures was a glue that didn't stick very well at all. It went on to become one of 3M's most popular adhesive products.
It is possible that this virus was a product of the same process. None of the complex engineered mutations worked, but one batch showed a unique combination of what are normally natural mutations.