While I understand your point, these same agencies are looking for government dollars any way they can get them.
Blowing out projections are a great way to convince the government it better pay up quick, or else.
I’m not saying that they all have evil intentions. It’s just that the projections are frequently wildly off. For that reason the information is worthless, and serves to discredit other reasoned reports.
“While I understand your point, these same agencies are looking for government dollars any way they can get them.”
Pretty much on target, especially, for example, on the topic of AGW.
“For that reason the information is worthless, and serves to discredit other reasoned reports.”
You seem to dismiss anything that uses certain “code words” - may, could, might, should... - out of hand, though, and I am attempting to caution you against that, because those “other reasoned reports” will appropriately use exactly those same “code words” and you are encouraging people to dismiss them on that basis rather than on the merits.
I fully recognize that we have our fair share of pearl clutchers here, but the best approach would be to rely on the people with appropriate expertise here on FR. Surely we have people with medical training who can say what’s BS and what’s legit. Maybe they can try and filter out some of the noise for us, rather than have a bunch of people calling this the end of the world and another bunch saying it’s all a big nothing-burger.