Posted on 01/24/2020 8:03:17 AM PST by 11th_VA
Eric Toner, a scientist at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, wasn't shocked when news of a mysterious coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan, China, surfaced in early January.
Less than three months earlier, Toner had staged a simulation of a global pandemic involving a coronavirus.
Coronaviruses typically affect the respiratory tract and can lead to illnesses like pneumonia or the common cold. A coronavirus was also responsible for the outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome in China, which affected about 8,000 people and killed 774 in the early 2000s.
"I have thought for a long time that the most likely virus that might cause a new pandemic would be a coronavirus," Toner said.
The outbreak in Wuhan isn't considered a pandemic, but the virus has been reported in Thailand, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Singapore, and Saudi Arabia. The US reported its first case on Tuesday: a man in his 30s living in Washington's Snohomish County, north of Seattle, who recently visited China.
So far, the virus has killed 18 people and infected more than 630.
"We don't yet know how contagious it is. We know that it is being spread person to person, but we don't know to what extent," Toner said. "An initial first impression is that this is significantly milder than SARS. So that's reassuring. On the other hand, it may be more transmissible than SARS, at least in the community setting."
Toner's simulation of a hypothetical deadly coronavirus pandemic suggested that after six months, nearly every country in the world would have cases of the virus. Within 18 months, 65 million people could die.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Experts? Yeah I have heard of them. They turn out to be right about one half of the time.
Please cite your source.
According to Patch.com (Washington News) the guy was still in hospital as of 10;30 last night. 43 people he came in contact with him are being monitored.
This morning’s cable news had him dead
The Black Death killed a third of the population in medieval Europe in a very short period of time.
We shouldn’t fool ourselves into thinking we could handle a pandemic that can kill millions of people quickly.
We can’t and the resultant social disruption is going to be of a catastrophic nature.
SARs ended with 8,000 cases … after ONE YEAR … that’s why I take this one more serious
Cable news this morning
That’s IMPOSSIBLE. We have 10.9 years left on this planet.
idiots...
Won’t matter if Captain Trips kills us. Whether its in six months or ten years, libs should be happy.
Fewer people around on the planet.
This was all planned through the use of “Vaccines” to limit population.
” Within 18 months, 65 million people could die.”
It’s a KILLBOX!!!!!
It’s a BUFFALO JUMP!!!!!!
Will Greta Thuneberg be giving high fives? This is good news for the VHE crowd.
thanks
Viral hyper viriaization gone awry? Shut the lab door.
But he has his few minutes of fame.
Viral hyper viriaization gone awry? Shut the lab door.
But he has his few minutes of fame.
This morning’s cable news had him dead
************************************************
It would be all over the news by now if this was true.
There are several things different today from the medieval Europe. First we don’t toss our excrements out the front window except in San Francisco. Another we don’t keep livestock in our houses except emotional support animals. Third we actually know about bacteria and viruses when in those days they were inclined to burn someone at the stake for making curses. And we have rat traps and pesticides. And nutrition. So scaring people with history is not going to work.
A Coronovirus is a “type” of virus. They have different Ro rates and fatality rates. A general statement without any specifics is dangerous.
For example, this has an Ro rate of about 1,5 to 2.25.
The measles is 12.5.
Here is a table for context and comparison.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number
Latest news is 63 possible cases across 22 states. That number sure jumped overnight.
Mighty convenient it escaped the lab just in time for Christmas tourists to head out across the world.
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