Posted on 11/16/2019 1:56:51 PM PST by goldstategop
f you thought there weren’t any major elections until the Iowa caucuses on Feb. 3, guess again. On Saturday, Louisiana will choose between incumbent Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards and Republican businessman Eddie Rispone for governor. And the race down in the Bayou looks increasingly close, so it’s an open question whether Edwards can once again overcome Louisiana’s deep red hue to win reelection. Here’s where things stand heading into Election Day.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
People who are the messengers of bad news often catch heck. A guy named Rispone is not going to resonate with a certain segment of conservative voters. A certain segment of conservative voters are not particularly motivated to vote by language and behavior that disrespects women and others. That would probably explain much of the discrepancy in this particular election. Once the remaining vote count is limited to cities and large population parishes, the Dem vote will just get stronger. People who are surprised because the “majority love Trump,” must not be looking at the poling data which show him with no more that 40% approval and often less than that. What the Dems will have trouble with is finding a ticket that is centrist enough to bring in Independents and a few Republicans, and not so centrist that a lot of more liberal enthusiasm is lost in the election effort.
People who are the messengers of bad news often catch heck. A guy named Rispone is not going to resonate with a certain segment of conservative voters. A certain segment of conservative voters are not particularly motivated to vote by language and behavior that disrespects women and others. That would probably explain much of the discrepancy in this particular election. Once the remaining vote count is limited to cities and large population parishes, the Dem vote will just get stronger. People who are surprised because the “majority love Trump,” must not be looking at the poling data which show him with no more that 40% approval and often less than that. What the Dems will have trouble with is finding a ticket that is centrist enough to bring in Independents and a few Republicans, and not so centrist that a lot of more liberal enthusiasm is lost in the election effort.
Well then those conservative pearl clutching voters need to buck up and understand we have a country to save and standing on the sidelines complaining about tone is a worthless enterprise.
He lost by over 100,000 votes in Orleans (New Orleans) Parish which is famous for it’s crooked ballot stuffing.
My late husband was born in Peoria. I once asked him about the crooked games in Daley Machine Chicago. He said, “Oh, well, the Republican games in downstate Illinois probably balance it out. I have no information about LA.
Sorry - very late to this thread.
Did all the Republican candidates win in Louisiana except for the Governor?
Thanks for your response.
out of 10 races ..Republicans won 8...of the 2 dem wins...one was governor..the other a state rep....
“Conservative southern state, booming economy, oil producer, Trump state in 2016.”
Don’t despair, it will again be a “Trump State” in 2020. Midterms are so different than Presidential elections. Remember after Obama winning in 2008 rather comfortably the Dems got destroyed in the midterms losing 64 House seats and over 1100 elective offices nationwide. But in 2012 after that resounding defeat he won re election rather easily.
National elections are very different from local elections an is most noticeable in turnout. That is why I laugh when some talk about “bell weather elections”. There is no such thing.
I worked in bloomington for awhile...the locals used to call anything I-80 and north of it “The State of Chicago”...too funny.
Thanks very much for that info. Glad the Repubs won those 8. Too bad about the Governor’s race. Too bad for Louisiana and for President Trump.
In 15 precincts in New Orleans “Eddie” Rispone (REP) got ZERO votes. In many others less than 10.
https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/static/2019-11-16/resultsRegion/57627/36
[People who are the messengers of bad news often catch heck. A guy named Rispone is not going to resonate with a certain segment of conservative voters. ]
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