Posted on 11/13/2019 8:06:53 AM PST by SeekAndFind
As Democrats continue with their impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump, one thing is increasingly clear: the Democratic Party is worried about their ability to beat Trump in 2020. Voters go to the polls in the Iowa Caucus in less than 12 weeks and the Democratic field is still fairly packed.
The Trump campaign is focused on reminding the American people of promises the President made during the 2016 election cycle and kept once in office. He has successfully delivered on tax cuts, unemployment rates have hit a record low – especially for Hispanics and African Americans – and the Senate has successfully confirmed 99 judges (with more slated for the remainder of the year).
New data from the Republican National Committee shows Americans are feeling the benefits of having President Trump in office. Voters in three key battleground states – New Hampshire, Michigan and Pennsylvania – say they are better off financially today than they were three years ago.
“Democrats know they cannot beat President Donald Trump at the ballot box in 2020. The American people are better off today than they were three years ago, and a socialist nominee would only destroy the economic progress enjoyed by tens of millions," Trump Victory spokesperson Rick Gorka told Townhall. "We know the partisan impeachment witch hunt is fueled by political motives but we also know the American people believe President Donald Trump is the reason for more money in their pockets.”
In Michigan, voters are 17 percent more likely to believe they are better off financially today than they were three years ago. That number jumps to 22 percent with voters under 35 years old. Those who reside in Macomb County, part of the Detroit metro area, are 22 percent more likely to agree that they are better off financially than they were three years ago.
Voters in New Hampshire are 33 percent more likely to believe they are better off financially than they were before the Trump administration. Working moms in the state are 31 percent more likely to feel their financial situation has improved since Trump took office. For voters in rural Coos County, it's 34 percent more likely.
Pennsylvanians are benefitting from the Trump economy and are 20 percent more likely to agree that they are better off than they were three years ago. That number jumps with voters under 35 years old to 25 percent. Working moms in the state are 18 percent more likely to feel their financial situation has improved.
The RNC invested more than $350 million in data that tracks key issues in every state, which allows their data and analytics team to closely monitor electorates and the issues that are important to them.
According to Bill Skelly, CEO of Causeway Solutions, a leader in the data field, the RNC's information is "unmatched."
“I work with RNC voter data every day and the quality and breadth of information is unmatched. The data is refreshed daily with information collected through the tireless efforts of RNC-led volunteers, activists and campaigns out there making phone calls and knocking on the doors of real voters in real time," Skelly told Townhall. "As a result, Republicans have an extremely valuable asset that their Democrat counterparts are rightly jealous of."
This data is provided to campaigns at the federal, state and local levels free of charge. The only thing the RNC asks for in return: for Republicans across the country to keep the data up-to-date when they knock on doors and phone bank.
"Instead of paying for data, the GOP candidates and organizations use sweat equity to improve it," Skelly said. "It is the secret weapon Republicans all over the county are able to deploy to win their political battles.”
I’m not informed enough to know.
Is 20 to 35 percent saying their financial situation has improved a lot?
It seems like a low number to me but the writer is saying they are good numbers.
I’ve not a clue. If someone does, please fill me in and thanks ahead of time.
Yeah, I know I can't see it because I spend most of my days with real people with real jobs.
Likely means that the gap between the percentage of people who feel worse off and the percentage of people who feel better off is 20 to 35 percent, so quite large compared to normal values
An ill known predictive measure of government is simple. Called “government efficiency”, it is just the ratio of what a government promises vs. what it delivers.
But it, as much as anything else, determines whether any given government succeeds or fails.
Promise a little and deliver, that government will remain.
Promise a middling number and deliver on most of it, they will have middling support from the public.
But promise a lot and fail to deliver, and that government is on the way out.
Importantly, it matters far less the form of government, or if the people even want what is being promised. All that matters is delivering on promises.
This means that President Trump’s reelection campaign should be based on what promises he has delivered. This will give him the best success.
GOTCHA! Thanks
I would offer these three observations:
1. The ‘Trump-turbo’ is not at the same level across all fifty states. Certain states (Alabama would be a good example)...things are looking great (Huntsville in September had a unemployment rate of 2.1-percent). Other regions...Alaska is a good example is at 6.1 percent. So nationally, trying to get a clear statement is difficult.
2. Those people who were sitting there in 2014 with a McDonalds burger-flipper job, and barely making $10 an hour....are now finding assembly/industry type jobs in the $15 range, with some bright future that they might be making $18 by the end of 2020. Those folks are looking at the best Christmas period in the past decade.
3. Finally, you come to the phrase ‘a lot’. With the tax changes that occurred, some folks are standing there with $200 extra in their hand at the end of the month. For some of us...$200 isn’t that big of a deal. For some unmarried mothers, that’s cash that you can spend on your kids, and improve things. For folks who were making in the $25k a year range during the Obama era, and now making $32k a year...’a lot’ is something that you be happy over.
I should add this....a number of business operations (even McDonalds), are looking to hire more senior citizens to fill spots because of the limited number of people applying for work. Those are also people in an improved situation, with another layer of cash on top of social security.
GO TRUMP GO!
Boy that was a great analysis. thanks
you forget sometimes living in nyc (staten Island) that a few hundred goes a long way in some parts of the country
The only possible way that the Democrats could beat Trump is to come up with a platform that the voters like BETTER than Trump’s.
Which they can’t even attempt to do because Schiff and Pelosi have made it all about impeachment.
RE: The only possible way that the Democrats could beat Trump is to come up with a platform that the voters like BETTER than Trump’s.
You forgot one factor — FRAUD. They’ll be making sure that these occur in the Battleground states.
RE: Finally, you come to the phrase ‘a lot’. With the tax changes that occurred,
Well, you can count out a few folks living in New York and NJ where property taxes are in the five figure range (e.g. Long Island and Westchester) and you can only deduct up to $10,000 in SALT.
There are plenty of single-issue voters on both the Right and Left. “I’ll only vote for a candidate who supports marijuana legalization” or “I’ll only vote for a candidate who has a proven track record of passing anti-abortion bills”. Those voters really don’t care about the economy so much as they care about their pet peeve.
PA has the lowest unemployment rate since records started.. Its not in play.
income growth under Bush II, $4 a month over 8 years, Obama $9 a month over 8 years, Trump $150+ a month over 3 years.... Trump isn’t losing folks...
He won’t lose a single state he got in 16, and he will win most, if not all states he got over 45% of the vote in, and will take the battle to states where he got around 40% of the vote, and don’t be shocked if you see him pick off some of those as well.
Best case for any Dem is 15 states and DC... and they are not remotely on a BEST CASE scenario.
2020 is all about dems hoping beyond hope they can hold the house... that’s really the only question going into 2020... Trump will handily win the White House, and GOP will comfortably hold the Senate, if they don’t gain seats...
I came up with the 15 plus number too when i went through the 50 states a while back :)
But i thought all 15 were safe dem.
I would LOVE to be wrong.
I often am :)
PA is the key. The state limped along for as long as I can remember. Now things are really moving in the right direction. When you are living paycheck to paycheck, $150 a month more is a big deal.
But it’s like I said...the ‘Trump-turbo’ is a region by region thing...it’s not really one single feeling going across the entire US. If you go into San Fran or Seattle...people are still disenchanted, but it’s more over their local politics or screwed-up situation. These areas with serious property tax issues (as you say in NJ or NY)...Trump’s path hasn’t done that much.
But note as well...Amazon tried to bring jobs into NY City, and AOC slammed that in a massive way.
By the end of the 8-year period, there’s going to be a 800-page book coming out of the era and describing all the jobs gained, industries that finally recovered from Clinton, Bush, and Obama....and Trump-optimism in full bloom.
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