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How Julian Castro Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
FiveThirtyEight ^ | Jan. 12, 2019 | Geoffrey Skelley

Posted on 08/01/2019 4:25:42 PM PDT by MagillaX

On Saturday, Democrat Julian Castro held an event in his hometown — San Antonio, Texas, where he served as mayor for five years — to announce he is running for president. But Castro’s campaign might be a bit a of a long shot considering he’s polling between 0 and 2 percent in state and national polls. That said, he has all the makings of an inspirational candidate — he’s young and ambitious, he overcame a childhood of poverty to attend Stanford and Harvard Law, and if he wins the nomination, would be the first Latino presidential nominee on a major-party ticket. But he also disappeared from the national spotlight after 2016 and now faces an uphill battle to convince voters that he is the strongest choice to oppose President Trump in what could be a very crowded 2020 primary field.

Just 44 years old, Castro first held public office at the age of 26 when he won a seat on the city council in San Antonio. He then went on to run for mayor in 2005, but narrowly lost that race before handily winning in 2009. He was re-elected as mayor twice and made his first big national splash when he was selected as the keynote speaker of the 2012 Democratic National Convention. Castro was the first Latino to fill that vaunted speaking slot, and was labeled a “rising star” as a result. In 2014, then-President Barack Obama chose him to be secretary of housing and urban development, and in 2016, Hillary Clinton seriously considered Castro for her vice presidential pick, but she ultimately opted for Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine instead.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2020demprimary; bathtubonmars; juliancastro; nicetry; nocigar; propaganda; texas
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To: ought-six

Texas alone will give them the nod??

You really think it will be close enough for that or is it wishful thinking on your part?


41 posted on 08/01/2019 6:39:07 PM PDT by 100American (Knowledge is knowing how, Wisdom is knowing when)
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To: MagillaX

538 in 2016: Trump has no chance to win.
538 in 2020: Here’s how Julian Castro can win

that’s how you spell “credibility”!


42 posted on 08/01/2019 6:50:12 PM PDT by pepsi_junkie (Often wrong, but never in doubt!)
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To: MagillaX
How Julian Castro Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary

Most people wouldn't consider this possibility only because it's such a long shot.
He could find a portal to a parallel universe, but in this one....no.

43 posted on 08/01/2019 6:56:43 PM PDT by stormhill
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To: MagillaX
This article is dated Jan 12, 2019.

Clearly, it has not aged well.
44 posted on 08/01/2019 7:07:52 PM PDT by Milton Miteybad (I am Jim Thompson. {Really.})
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To: KMG365

That, or a weird reptilian look.


45 posted on 08/01/2019 7:34:02 PM PDT by Lizavetta
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To: MagillaX

to me, Juan Castro comes across as a smug, arrogant, elitist douchebag ...


46 posted on 08/01/2019 10:30:39 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: MagillaX

“How Julian Castro Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary”

By increasing his RCP poll average by 5,000%? Or is this one of those trick questions?

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html


47 posted on 08/01/2019 10:32:56 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: Pining_4_TX

Running on the “I’m the Other Castro Commie” ticket.


48 posted on 08/01/2019 10:46:04 PM PDT by MadMax, the Grinning Reaper
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To: MagillaX

49 posted on 08/01/2019 11:10:48 PM PDT by dead (Our next president is going to be sooooo boring.)
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To: KMG365

I call Castro “your Chinese waiter” asking you to choose `one from column A and two from column B’.

Why is it everyone named Castro turns out to be a world class jerk?


50 posted on 08/01/2019 11:20:15 PM PDT by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam.")
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

Yeah, good one. “La Raza and MS13 thugs murder all the other candidates”.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3768456/posts?page=113#113


51 posted on 08/01/2019 11:23:41 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: 100American

“Texas alone will give them the nod?? You really think it will be close enough for that or is it wishful thinking on your part?

If the Rats flip Texas and retake one of the Rust Belt states Trump loses in the EC. Wishful thinking? Not a bit. I’m just applying logic and reason, which you apparently lack or else you would not have made such an assumption. I am very much a Trump supporter.


52 posted on 08/03/2019 5:20:27 AM PDT by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: ought-six

So following on to your response you feel that Julian Castro will draw better than Beto did and in sufficient numbers to flip Texas. This also assumes that far beyond that state he will draw in similar or better numbers simply because he is Hispanic. photgenic etc. and still the same Socialistic ideas but in a more acceptable package and of course he needs to be pro illegal

Just my encapsulation not anything more, a question really


53 posted on 08/03/2019 10:36:13 AM PDT by 100American (Knowledge is knowing how, Wisdom is knowing when)
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To: 100American

I think in a head-to-head match-up between Puto and Castro the latter would win, as Hispanics would overwhelmingly pull the lever for Castro and non-Hispanics would probably break at 50/50 for Castro. Puto was a brief flash who has faded significantly; hell, I think Puto will drop out by this Fall (but, he’s nuts enough not to do so).


54 posted on 08/03/2019 2:28:04 PM PDT by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: ought-six

And you really think that in a head to head with Trump any of the current candidates has a chance?


55 posted on 08/03/2019 3:05:15 PM PDT by 100American (Knowledge is knowing how, Wisdom is knowing when)
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To: 100American

“And you really think that in a head to head with Trump any of the current candidates has a chance?”

Not if the Rats don’t flip Texas or Florida, and I don’t think they will flip them. But the Rats do; thus, that is why I prefaced my prior comments with “if.”


56 posted on 08/03/2019 6:14:08 PM PDT by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: Pining_4_TX
Hillary's been Castros 'mentor' for quite some time....

she loves to train her pitbulls....


57 posted on 08/07/2019 7:43:47 AM PDT by caww
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To: caww

Ugh, what a picture of evil.


58 posted on 08/07/2019 6:42:05 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX ("Every election is a sort of advance auction sale of stolen goods." ~ H.L. Mencken)
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