[Rumierules]

DEMs having very strong ED turnout in Orange County.

REPs are offsetting that in smaller but more numerous counties: Collier, Martin, St. Johns, and Sumter.

In all of the counties mentioned above, ED turnout is more than 80% of ED turnout compared to 2016. Most other counties are below that level of turnout, and some are significantly below that.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13UdXilkzGqvvdKBN9Vwe8er64JeycQbLxKGxFy9lTlE/htmlview?sle=true#

[Ravi]

Look at overall turnout also. Orange County turnout is 54.78% of its Registered Voters (RV). That is about the same as the hurricane counties right now...

https://ocfelections.com/VoterTurnout/VoterTurnout.aspx

The red counties are up to over 60% and climbing...

[Ravi]

Anyone know precinct 129 or 334 in Orange County, FL? They have the highest turnout % currently. Lots of other precincts in the 30s and 40s in Orange County. Just curious.

BTW, there is no Dem/Rep breakdown for OC on election day. Only breakdown is for EV.

[TrumpCoat]

I was curious about Orange County as well, so I dug into its precinct information. (There is one in my history but it's based on % turnout of registered voters, not % turnout of 2016).

What I found was amazing. There is a near-linear correlation with Trump vote percentages and turnout relative to 2016. I truncated the axes to make the linear correlation more obvious; there's only a handful of dots outside of the axis. Each dot represents an individual precinct in Orange.



I think what we are seeing is that the NeverTrumper Republicans were disproportionately in cities (not rural areas). They stayed home in 2016 but are turning out this year.