Posted on 11/06/2018 8:01:19 AM PST by Lazamataz
It is my birthday today, so I get to post the live thread. :)
Some places to watch:
Politico SenateReal Clear Politics
Wasn’t there has been some court ordered redistricting. PA? NC? I don’t recall the details. I believe the Dems pick up a few guaranteed seats. I don’t remember the exact numbers.
:)
Give me a good birthday present today!
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LOL. It was my birthday yesterday, Laz. I got the rally of all rallies as a present - let’s hoping you get an even better gift once the polls close.
LOL!!
keep them coming when you can LS!!!
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I've been praying mostly ON all day.
Be well "sneakers".
By the way, please don't get bent out of shape about the comments on Jim Quinn.
It's time for you to make that a meaningful thread, not just a joke of cookie recipes and soccer games.
No - you SAVED an election. I saw the returns change with everything you found irritating.
Group 1, pretty sure losses:
PA 3, NJ 3, Comstock VA10, Sessions TX23, for now, Blum IA1, Yoder KS2, Issa’s seat (CA whatever), McSally (AZ2).
That’s 12.
Group 2: (tossups)
On the bubble: Polquin (ME2)
Curbelo (FL27)
Salazar (FL26)
Roskam (IL whatever)
Bishop (MI11)
Epstein (MI)
That’s 18
Group 3: Seats the Ds think they can win
Included in their list is Brat (VA5, Gianforte (MT), Love (UT4), Culberson (TX . .), Faso (NY19), Tenny (NY22), and Lance (NJ).
That’s 25.
Was on their list, Watkins (KIS3) appears safe, 2 CA districts appear safe.
D-R flips: MN1 and MN3 (I think), AZ1
That’s 22.
Close to D-R flips: MN7, NV3, FL13
Conclusion: I think they get all of Group 1 (18), +2 tossups (20) minus at least two of the D-R flips (18), and give them two of group 3.
However, if Baris’s early sampling holds up, we could come out of FL with +1, which would be a final of . . . 15, or, exactly where I had it.
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Whomever you are .............. I adore you.
God blesses this country and that wonderful Donald J. Trump........ and you!
No. We’ll lose Comstock, not Brat or Taylor.
Issa isn’t running. Diane Harkey, his successor, is running ahead in absentee/early . . . BUT not at a high enough level to ensure she gets reelected.
Pete Sessions.
We can predict a lot based on absentee/early votes. Enough of a lead, almost impossible to overcome.
Just voted...
No line for my district, but the very purple one next to it had a LONG line to vote at 1130 eastern.
Thanks!
Not to worry! We will gain seats in the house and gain 5-8+ seats in the senate! Perhaps even the Cali Gov seat! Big day in America! MAGA!
BLUE WAVE UPDATE 
No reportage for this year. While it could be because the results don't bode well for the Dems, I think it may have more to do with The Balsams, the hotel with the polling place for Dixville Notch, being closed.
We just voted in Cobb County, GA. The line was as long or longer (same time of day) than 2016.
Thank you, I’m not bent out of shape. I’ve had at least one other like you many years ago. It doesn’t bother me. I’ll keep the thread going ‘as is’. I’m sorry it bothers you.
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