FL update with results through end of day 11/3.
VBM - we may lose a bit on the VBM. Maybe 3,000-5,000 today. VBM is what it is at this point. Anyone can look at the outstanding ballots and see we were going to give up a bit. Moving on.
EV - well Saturday numbers are coming in. We started the day DOWN about 9,500 once all the counties actually reported. Right now with the counties I check on, we’re down 24,300 so we lost about 15,000 today. Unfortunately this does not include Miami-Dade and Palm Beach. No idea how many votes yet in Miami-Dade but Palm Beach posted 16,000 (consistent with Friday). I am assuming Miami-Dade comes in consistent with their Friday as well.
It’s looking like we will go into tomorrow up 60k VBM and down 30k on EV, or up 30k overall.
Counties that were scheduled to be open for EV tomorrow with some projection.
Bay - 4,000 votes, +1,600 spread
Broward - 30,000 votes, -11,100 spread
Charlotte - 2,500 votes, +800 spread
Duval - 16,000 votes, -1,200 spread
Hillsborough - 16,000 votes, -1,200 spread
Leon - 6,000 votes, -1,800 spread
Miami-Dade - 30,000 votes, -5,800 spread
Orange - 15,000 votes, -3,300 spread
Osceola - 4,000 votes, -700 spread
Palm Beach - 15,000 votes, -2,500 spread
Pinellas - 6,000 votes, -500 spread
Polk - no major impact
Seminole - no major impact
St. Lucie - 4,000 votes, -400 spread
Volusia - no major impact
Looking like around -25,000 EV for us tomorrow. Building off my last post, we sit +30,000 going into tomorrow, -25,000 EV tomorrow. I think this along with some continued VBM erosion is looking like a turnout standstill heading into Election Day.