Posted on 11/03/2018 5:29:02 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Totals for Florida early vote.
Absentee Ballot (VBM) - REPs lead by 67,540
In-Person Early Voting - DEMs lead by 10,638
Combined Early voting - REPs lead by 56,902
At this same time in 2016: DEMs lead of 5,280
The REP lead has ranged from 53K to 75K over the past week.
Numbers represent ballots cast by party registration.
Ballots have not been counted yet.
He is playing the Psych Ops games here for weeks .
Read his past comments .
I am shocked the poster is still here after his awful zapped comments about Melania in 2016. This astroturfing games get old .
“also when Trump won by a little more than 100,000, Rubio won by 700,000 so there is potential there for Desantis and Scott to do better! We shall see”
I had forgotten about that. Trump will get those voters this time around.
“also when Trump won by a little more than 100,000, Rubio won by 700,000 so there is potential there for Desantis and Scott to do better! We shall see”
I had forgotten about that. Trump will get those voters this time around.
” am I right to think that?”
Sometimes the simplest explanation is the correct one.
ok thanks!
Yea, I forgot about Gary Johnson
ok good to know. maybe a chinese bot.
Republicans, all of you, have the “Once-In-A-Lifetime Opportunity” to politically defeat & destroy the entire Democrat Party for many years to come, if you just get up and get out to vote by Mail-In, Absentee, Early Voting or on Election Day itself, Tuesday, November 6, 2018.
It simply boils down to this...”GET OUT & VOTE” for the POTUS Trump “endorsed” Ticket Of GOP Candidates. Do, it, do it, do it!!! Vote...LIKE RIGHT NOW!!!
“would you venture a guess on what you think happens this weekend with the numbers in Florida”
DEMs will have a net gain of votes this weekend, without a doubt because the big Dem counties are open on Sunday and Rep counties are (mostly) closed. Then Monday, Rep will claw back some of that vote when Panhandle is open.
The question is how much Dems net. In 2016, Dems netted 75k in the 3 days before election. 52k from that Sunday. I would estimate about 70% of that gain again this year, which would be about 52k. Say Republicans pick up 5k on Monday.
Our current lead is 57. So 57-52+5 = 10k lead by Election Day. 2 years ago Dems had a lead of 96K. So that would be a 106k improvement.
I like your enthusiasm.
I agree with something around even after Monday. “Panhandle Monday” is gonna be pretty small but anything helps
No updates from me or to my sheet until tonight. Catch up with you all then
By Election Day, 60% of the vote will have already been cast in FL. A mail-in vote counts the same as an early in-person vote. Historically, the Reps outperform the Dems on Election Day. And the Dems win the total early voting including mail and in-person voting.
Anecdotal information is just that, anecdotal. I will rely more on the votes cast. Gillum won only 34% of the Dem vote in the primary. I have a feeling that a significant percentage of the Dems won’t vote for the first black governor of FL.
I am surprised. no one has corrected or challenged in court . Only the stupid party would allow this huge mistake to continue .
“This looks promising because Republicans will not start in a deficit, but have a decent lead.”
____________________________________________
I’m hoping the Republicans win and win big.
That said, I believe the assumption is that the same level of Republicans will vote on Election Day as in the past.
That’s my concern...that the # of early voters aren’t being factored into the vote on Election Day.
Projects to final R lead of 22,000=24,000 after Monday red county voting and more Panhandle absentees come int.
That in turn projects to final R tally on election night of +175,000-200,000.
Scott by 3 or 4, DeSantis by 1-1.5
The constitution does not support the separation of church and state. If a church wants to bus people to the polls or if a pastor wants to endorse a person or party, they are free to do so under our constitution. Unfortunately, the constitution is ignored or bastardized far too often.
Prior to 1954, churches and non-profits had no restrictions on their freedom of speech or their right to speak out in favor or against political issues or candidates.
I believe H.R. 2357 was that law that punished 'political' speech and activity in churches.
2 of those early R ours. The fraud in chief shows up to help the fake Gillum. No indication of size of crowd at event meanwhile the Donald fills venues. If that 1 on 1 is an indication things should be much better than talking heads predicting
“Scott by 3 or 4, DeSantis by 1-1.5”
Yep, my thinking also.
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