Posted on 11/01/2018 4:37:23 PM PDT by Hojczyk
The Democrats might capture the House this year, but every GOP pickup makes that prospect less likely. Here in Minnesota, we have two very strong pickup opportunities, open seats in the 1st and 8th Congressional districts, both of which went strongly for President Trump in 2016. I am pretty confident that the Republican candidates, Jim Hagedorn and Pete Stauber, will win those races.
Until now, hardly anyone has taken seriously the chance that Republican David Hughes can upset longtime Congressman Collin Peterson in Minnesota’s 7th. But, in a stunning move, Real Clear Politics now rates the contest a tossup.
Peterson has represented the 7th in Congress for 28 years, and has been personally popular in the district. But his vote totals have been slipping with each cycle, and the 7th went for President Trump by 30 points. Peterson has gotten less energetic over the years, and one suspects that he would like to retire. I liken him to Ruth Bader Ginsburg; the Democrats no doubt are pressuring him to stay on, knowing the seat will flip as soon as he retires.
But maybe the voters don’t want to wait that long. As a practical matter, Peterson, like all House Democrats, is little more than a vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker. David Hughes has essentially no money, but door knockers in the 7th report that they are seeing five or six Hughes lawn signs for every Peterson lawn sign. Alpha News has the story.
It is not too late to give Hughes some much-needed financial support. You can contribute to his campaign here.
(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...
1stCD NH is a statistical tie. It’s a democratic pick-up with Shea-Porter retiring.
Shea-Porter is a Dem, so it would be a Rep pick-up if Edwards wins. I’m in NH-1 and my ballot is in...
Sir, we gave to each of the seven candidates you previously mentioned.
Do you have other races you think need the nudge?
Thanks...I somehow had that backward. I know it’s a dem seat right now.
Yes I saw your subsequent post on another thread after replying. I’m not optimistic about a pickup though, Dem enthusiasm is pretty high here from what I can see.
Well, let’s hope Edwards pulls it off. Very depressing to watch NH turn purple/blue. I’m in Massachusetts. As you know it’s brutal here.
I’m going to vote Baker for governor only because he will veto allowing Mass to become a sanctuary state. Other wise I despise him.
Like lots of others, including Jeff Denham. They may be RINO. POS’s but they’re our POS’s, and we need every single one we can get. VOTE!!!!!!
Are there no Democrats about to switch to the Republican Party like they have in previous years?
We aren’t going to lose the House.
If we flip MN 7 along with the other 2 outstate districts, we are guaranteed +1 out of MN, more likely +2 or +3 if we hold the suburban districts. I just have a hard time understanding how the Dems expect to pick up 25 in the House while losing 3-5 in the Senate. And the more stories I see like this, the more I believe that’s total media fantasy.
If I were to guess right now, I’d say GOP +4 in the Senate, and Dem +3 to +5 in the House. But I’m far from ruling out a red tide scenario with up to +9 in the Senate and positive gains for the GOP in the House. I look at the early voting, the Trump rallies, the energy on our side, and I think there’s a good possibility of that kind of scenario.
Senate has more demos at risk. House has more gop open seats. The rats run as a right wing trump supporter.
I’m still trying to see if Connecticut CD-5, the most Conservative district will flip. I think if Bob Stefanowski wins the governor race, it might.
Hughes MN7 close
R in NH1 (-2)
Hardy (NV4)
If you don’t mind me offering up a candidate or two, Here’s a couple:
Jim Hagedorn - 1st District (Minnesota) - a good shot to flip a seat from blue to red. The district covers the very southern most part of Minnesota and has a GOP lean to it.
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Jason Lewis - 2nd District (Minnesota) a first term GOP incumbent and former radio talk show host. He has a solid conservative voting record and is facing a re-match with his 2016 opponent, Angie Craig. She’s a well financed Leftist trying to act moderate in an district that is an odd combo of suburbs and small rural towns.
I recommend doing a little bit of research to educate yourself. This isn't hard. Really?
Tomorrow is your 5-year anniversary. Congrats!
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