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Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.

FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.

Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport ‏is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.

The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.

Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.

As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

Hurricane Michael Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: gorebullwarming; hurricane; hurricanemichael; localnews; michael; nautinurse; tropical
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To: sodpoodle

Stay safe, you could definitely get some of the strong feeder bands through there as the eye passes through center of the state.


661 posted on 10/10/2018 1:33:39 PM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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To: sodpoodle

From maps I have seen, the worst of the storm should be well off to the west of you. And they have had pretty good accuracy and confidence with the storm track, even if they were off on the intensity.


662 posted on 10/10/2018 1:36:01 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: sodpoodle
From this map, looks like you have a 30 percent chance of tropical storm force winds, or 40 mph, and that is reflected by your area being under a tropical storm warning. No sign of hurricane force winds for you in the forecast.
663 posted on 10/10/2018 1:39:19 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: commish

Yes - that is a bit worrying - I’m on the 3rd floor!!!!

We have been experiencing a lot of ‘pop up’ storms for the last several weeks and they are pretty scary. Too bad I don’t drink!!!!!!!!!!!!!


664 posted on 10/10/2018 1:39:42 PM PDT by sodpoodle (Life is prickly - carry tweezers)
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To: NautiNurse

Most helpless I have ever felt in my life. I am in Virginia right now getting ready to retire and was going to be joining her in two weeks. Now not sure what is going to happen.


665 posted on 10/10/2018 1:41:21 PM PDT by 2Dreamin
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To: dirtboy

Thank you - that is a super clear graphic....


666 posted on 10/10/2018 1:41:29 PM PDT by sodpoodle (Life is prickly - carry tweezers)
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To: sodpoodle

Stay safe, FRiend. Please check in and provide local updates when you are able.


667 posted on 10/10/2018 1:43:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: commish
Tree damage in Lynn Haven, just NE of Panama City.


668 posted on 10/10/2018 1:44:10 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: petitfour

They have not yet posted the video but this is the reporter (Steve Barrett with WFTV in Panama city before it all hit) and they show the homeless man. I believe they thought they would be safe where they were.

https://www.wftv.com/video?videoId=849659495&videoVersion=1.0&utm_source=homestream&utm_medium=site_navigation&utm_campaign=homestream_click


669 posted on 10/10/2018 1:44:30 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: dfwgator

You’re so right. I expected to see more empty slabs after this storm. So far I’ve mainly seen marina’s, gas stations, mobile homes, and Mexico beach. It was nasty, but so far looks like a bullet dodged for a cat 5 in my book.


670 posted on 10/10/2018 1:44:36 PM PDT by teevolt
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To: 2Dreamin

Prayers up for you and your family!


671 posted on 10/10/2018 1:45:05 PM PDT by zzeeman ("We can evade reality, but we cannot evade the consequences of evading reality.")
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To: NautiNurse
Meanwhile, on the FL/GA border:


672 posted on 10/10/2018 1:46:15 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

On that emergency radio link upthread somewhere, some were saying that a tornado/s had touched down in that town/area earlier.


673 posted on 10/10/2018 1:48:07 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: mewzilla; NautiNurse

NN, thank you for this thread.

Mewz, thank you for the link.

I have been trying to listen in to repeaters/ham stations on EchoLink. Only one, TheGuild, in Tallahassee has traffic. The others are not connecting. Couldn’t connect to N4QEP-R in Pensacola.

Any FL hams here?


674 posted on 10/10/2018 1:49:01 PM PDT by Wiz-Nerd
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To: 2Dreamin

Try to take it one step at a time. First, your family needs a safe place to stay tonight. That and a hot meal are the priority now.


675 posted on 10/10/2018 1:50:40 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: Mouton
"My wife and I were in Apalachicola, across the sound, three weeks ago and visited SGI then and once before. It is a nice place."

I always think of this when I hear or see Apalachicola.

Apalachicola, Florida: Museum To The Man Who Invented Air Conditioning

John Gorrie

We played them in HS football many years ago too.

676 posted on 10/10/2018 1:51:55 PM PDT by blam
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To: Wiz-Nerd

There was a ham either near the top of this thread, or the end of the first thread. Can’t recall name.


677 posted on 10/10/2018 1:52:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: tomkat

Was it this one? “Cajun Navy”.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=YMs5qGhG3ps


678 posted on 10/10/2018 1:52:15 PM PDT by RushIsMyTeddyBear
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To: NautiNurse

Closings for SC areas likely to be impacted:

http://www.live5news.com/2018/10/09/list-lowcountry-closings-related-hurricane-michael/


679 posted on 10/10/2018 1:52:47 PM PDT by sodpoodle (Life is prickly - carry tweezers)
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To: dirtboy

Dang, what a storm.


680 posted on 10/10/2018 1:53:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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