Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II

NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.

FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.

Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport ‏is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.

The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.

Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.

As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions

NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

Hurricane Michael Thread I

[Andy'smom]

I spent a week on St. George about 10 years ago. We have friends that rented there every winter.

[petitfour]

Well, they left that video coverage temporarily. I was just in Panama City a few weeks ago, and the video they were just showing looked devastating.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Rain band with thunder N. of Orlando right now.

[dirtboy]

No, he’s dead serious. And dead wrong.

[BamaBelle]

OMG! Just saw Mexico Beach on CNN. It looks devasted! So sad...my favorite beach. Used to go to Panama City until it got taken over by drunken teenagers. Mexico Beach is for us elders...lol. Small town, not much to do except enjoy the beautiful beach there. Was planning on going late next spring. Hope and pray everyone is okay and they can rebuild.

[NautiNurse]

Gosh, I've been a member of Wunderground since Sept. 2001, on our third personal Wx station. Now that we're done with the superlatives, do tell us why there is a void of reporting Wx stations from Panama City to Tallahassee this afternoon. Do you expect us to believe only one single person in Panama City had a personal Wx station this morning before Hurricane Michael made landfall? Really?

[dirtboy]

Panama City. Yeah, a real nothingburger:

https://twitter.com/StormVisuals

[BureaucratusMaximus]

Sheesh...take the pissing match off-thread.

Thank you.

[NautiNurse]

Tallahassee Radar is down.

[RushIsMyTeddyBear]

:(

I just saw James Spann’s Twitter feed and Mexico Beach looks devastated. Heartsick.

[NautiNurse]

Looks like they were able to get Tallahassee radar back.

Recently reported wind gusts include:

Tyndall Air Force Base: 119 mph (191 km/h)
Florida State University Panama City Campus: 116 mph (187 km/h)
University of Florida/Weatherflow Mexico Beach: 104 mph (167 km/h)
Panama City Treatment Plant: 94 mph (151 km/h)
Panama City Beach National Ocean Service: 78 mph (126 km/h)

[commish]

Amazing it can still be so symmetrical that far inland.

[NautiNurse]

Source?

[thoughtomator]

This one I believe is the biggest on record to hit the Florida Panhandle.

[DAVEY CROCKETT]

Over on the east coast Palm Coast, Florida, tornado alerts blowing up my phone till 2:00 am that’s a long time...

[FreeReign]

Here is the link for Panama City area. Gives some direct, real-time reporting. Winds are only in the 70s, some of these have cameras.

And those are the gusts, not the sustained winds.

However, the maximum winds would be to the southeast of there toward Mexico Beach.

[Hojczyk]

Looks like joe bastardi nailed this one???

Joe Bastardi

Diminishing the magnitude of this storm is absurd. On the other hand blaming it on climate change is just iss absurd by the way Carlas cloud shield was bigger than Allen’s

Joe Bastardi

That being said this was a well telegraphed pattern recognition storm and my company was alerting people about the intensity of this from Sunday. We set the storm up early last week for clients

https://www.weatherbell.com

daily update

[commish]

And those numbers are on back side of eye.

Pictures coming out of Panama City and Mexico Beach are of complete and utter devastation.

Add to that the horrible flooding in Appalachicola and throughout the big bend and this will be a record setting storm.

[gov_bean_ counter]

Outer rain bands almost reaching Huntsville, AL. Crazy how big this storm is and how it is staying together.