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Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.

FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.

Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport ‏is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.

The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.

Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.

As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

Hurricane Michael Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: gorebullwarming; hurricane; hurricanemichael; localnews; michael; nautinurse; tropical
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To: DrewsMum

I have people in Mobile and they’re all going to work today. No worries.


261 posted on 10/10/2018 6:31:54 AM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: All

Yes, the storm has made a turn and is moving NNE at this time. Here’s the radar link:

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=EVX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

(keep refreshing it)

It appears to be heading for a location between Panama City and Mexico Beach, but is still dangerously close to a direct hit on Panama City. Every mile it misses to south will reduce wind damage and storm surge there, but would say at this point storm surge will be very bad almost for certain to the southeast of landfall, 12 to 18 feet would be a reasonable estimate.


262 posted on 10/10/2018 6:34:09 AM PDT by Peter ODonnell (In the alternate universe, John McCain was a one-term president and Sarah Palin a two-term president)
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To: chasio649

People were calling talk radio yesterday....said it took 4 hours to get from Montgomery to B’ham.


263 posted on 10/10/2018 6:34:19 AM PDT by RushIsMyTeddyBear
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To: Peter ODonnell

Ft. Morgan (Gulf Shores) is reported flooded.


264 posted on 10/10/2018 6:36:47 AM PDT by RushIsMyTeddyBear
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To: Peter ODonnell

265 posted on 10/10/2018 6:40:02 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: janetjanet998

266 posted on 10/10/2018 6:42:37 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

That’s a booger.


267 posted on 10/10/2018 6:44:31 AM PDT by RushIsMyTeddyBear
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To: numberonepal

Well I see the storm apparently did make the predicted turn....so... I guess ms and most of al in the clear.


268 posted on 10/10/2018 6:45:27 AM PDT by DrewsMum (The public cannot be too curious concerning the choharacters of public menÂ…(or WOMEN) Samuel Adam)
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To: DrewsMum

There’s a system that seems to be pushing it over.


269 posted on 10/10/2018 6:47:11 AM PDT by RushIsMyTeddyBear
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To: RushIsMyTeddyBear

Which really doesn’t take much.


270 posted on 10/10/2018 6:47:37 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Ruth Bader Ginsburg doctor is a taxidermist.)
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To: Peter ODonnell

Thanks!


271 posted on 10/10/2018 6:48:21 AM PDT by DrewsMum (The public cannot be too curious concerning the choharacters of public menÂ…(or WOMEN) Samuel Adam)
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To: dirtboy

I see Pineapple Willey’s in this video, but what are the other locations? Orange Beach, maybe?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nWcgw13dxuk


272 posted on 10/10/2018 6:51:37 AM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: abb

I think most of those shots are around Panama City Beach.


273 posted on 10/10/2018 7:00:08 AM PDT by rdl6989
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To: clintonh8r

I’ve been listening to oyster radio WOYS online. The regular host, forget his name, is giving updates between the tunes.


274 posted on 10/10/2018 7:01:31 AM PDT by americas.best.days... ( Donald John Trump has pulled the sword from the stone.)
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To: numberonepal

Yeah...No problem here....but yesterday evening, all the people on the eastern shore of the bay were late for night shift because of the panhandle traffic out of Florida. I’m wondering if there are ANY hotel vacancies in Mobile.


275 posted on 10/10/2018 7:03:20 AM PDT by chasio649 (Donald Trump is not the president we need, he is the president SJWs deserve)
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Very true.


276 posted on 10/10/2018 7:04:06 AM PDT by RushIsMyTeddyBear
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To: RushIsMyTeddyBear

That had to suck.


277 posted on 10/10/2018 7:04:37 AM PDT by chasio649 (Donald Trump is not the president we need, he is the president SJWs deserve)
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To: rdl6989
I think most of those shots are around Panama City Beach.

I don't think so. The only place along PC Beach with a rock jetty is at the Shell Island cut. And there's no cam there.

I'm thinking that's the Alabama/Florida Point inlet near just east of Orange Beach, AL.

278 posted on 10/10/2018 7:05:08 AM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: NautiNurse

NautiNurse.... we live in the Atlanta metro area ..... Georgia is going to get hit.....
Originally, it was to track just south of Macon GA as a TS......
Now they are stating it will be a Class 1.....
Since the storm hasn’t made the predicted NE turn as of yet.... do you know if the storm is now going to track further north? If so, That would greatly impact the greater ATL area.....


279 posted on 10/10/2018 7:06:17 AM PDT by nevergore (I have a terrible rash on my covfefe....)
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To: NautiNurse
Good Lord protect these people! This thing is a monster!

I have not seen a gulf storm with that nice a structure presentation since Katrina reached Cat 5. and Michael is now officially the strongest October storm ever. Internal pressure of 933 is 5 MB lower than previous record of 938.

PCB to Mexico beach may truly be wiped off the map this time.

280 posted on 10/10/2018 7:06:41 AM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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