Any idea what’s going on with Tenny? Bad polling? Underfunded?
If we hold all three of these, it’s gonna be darn hard for the Ds to take the Hosue.
Here in AZ, the turnout was overwhelming, but was “lackluster” according to a top GOP guy, for Enema’s district House candidate and for McSally’s district.
We need a hold and a flip here between those two and O’Halleran’s.
Meanwhile, Antonio Sabato, Jr. told me, “I believe I will win.” Says his race is in good shape. Ventura wold be a flip.
Still looking at flipping two MN and one NV seat.
Holding McSallys (2nd) is probably about 50/50.
I have no confidence in gaining Sinema’s seat (9th) given it’s swing toward Hillary (already leaned rat) and it’s strong rat candidate. Half the “raters” go so far as to call safe rat. They seem biased but I’d rate it no better than a longshot.
CD-1 is harder to peg, we’d have held it in 2016 if not for nominating that creepy gay Sheriff. This time the nominee is Wendy Rogers, a frequent candidate who lost to Sinema is district 9 in 2014 (badly). She’s tapped out after the primary and O’Halleran is still sitting on a million dollars. State Senator Steve Smith might have been a better nominee.