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Poll: Menendez faces tightening reelection race, leads GOP challenger by 6 points
The Hill ^ | 08/22/18 | Megan Keller

Posted on 08/22/2018 10:10:31 AM PDT by yesthatjallen

New Jersey Sen. Robert Menendez (D) is facing a tightening race as he seeks to hold onto his Senate seat in the November elections, according to a new poll.

Menendez leads his Republican challenger Bob Hugin by just 6 points, 43 to 37 percent, in a Quinnipiac University Poll released Wednesday.

Mendendez previously held a 17-point lead, 49 to 32 percent, in a March survey conducted by Quinnipiac University.

The latest poll shows a racial gap between the candidates’ supporters. Hugin leads among white voters at 47 percent to Menendez’s 38 percent. Meanwhile, Menendez is supported by 51 percent of non-white voters while Hugin holds 18 percent.

Republicans back Hugin more heavily than Democrats support Menendez. Eighty-five percent of Republicans said they would vote for Hugin, while 74 percent of Democrats said they backed Menendez.

Independents are split almost evenly between the two, with 37 percent supporting Hugin and 33 percent backing Menendez.

Menendez was cleared of federal corruption charges in January, but the poll shows that the probe still hangs over him in voters' minds.

Forty-nine percent of New Jersey voters said Menendez was involved in serious wrongdoing, while 16 percent said that is not the case. Among Democrats, 38 percent said he was involved in serious wrongdoing while 25 percent said he did not.

Overall, more voters than not disapprove of the two-term New Jersey Democrat, with 47 percent of those polled disapproving of the incumbent and 40 percent approving.

Hugin is less well known in the state, with a majority of respondents, 54 percent, saying they had not heard enough about the Republican. Of those who expressed an opinion, 24 percent viewed him favorably and 20 percent viewed him unfavorably.

Twenty-five percent of voters said that ethics in government was the most important issue in their decision of who to elect as senator in November, followed by 22 percent who cited taxes, 19 percent health care, 14 percent immigration and 14 percent the economy.

Voters’ approval for New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy (D) in the poll rose from 44 percent approval in March to 54 percent approval now. President Trump, meanwhile, earned a heavily negative approval rating at 33 percent to 63 percent.

Republicans currently hold a slim 51-49 seat majority in the Senate, while Democrats this year are defending 10 seats in states Trump won in 2016.

Menendez's seat was rated earlier this month by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report as "likely" to stay Democratic in the fall.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 908 New Jersey voters over the phone from Aug. 15-20. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: New Jersey
KEYWORDS: bobhugin; robertmenendez
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To: Sarah Barracuda
...once the left got control of the media there is nothing we could do, we live in a two tier justice system, for the left, they get away with EVERYTHING..for anyone on the right, automatic jail

The enemedia is quite fortunate in that the ones they hate (that's us) have a higher moral code than their own. Otherwise they'd be finding media corpses on a regular basis, or unexplained media disappearances would abound.

21 posted on 08/22/2018 10:41:37 AM PDT by JimRed ( TERM LIMITS, NOW! Build the Wall Faster! TRUTH is the new HATE SPEECH.)
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To: Bob434
wasn’t he accused of a crime not long ago?

Hung jury and charges dropped.

22 posted on 08/22/2018 10:42:51 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: Trump20162020

That’s because the NJ Democrat machine cheats very openly, and often. I’ll never forget the Toricelli/Lautenberg ballot switcheroo, pulled long after it was no longer legal to do so, but Toricelli was suddenly polling behind and had to be replaced. (2002?) They even got the NJ Supreme Court to rubber stamp it. It was unconscionable.


23 posted on 08/22/2018 10:44:59 AM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Bob434

Yeah he got off on something like a hung Jury or mistrial. I don’t remember which. He was all set to be re-tried and Sessions made that all go away.


24 posted on 08/22/2018 10:50:14 AM PDT by Revel
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To: DoodleDawg

As I just said. He was going to be re-tried(It was publicly announced that he was going to be) and the justice department suddenly changed their mind.


25 posted on 08/22/2018 10:51:54 AM PDT by Revel
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To: yesthatjallen

Forget it, Jake, it’s New Jersey.


26 posted on 08/22/2018 10:53:55 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: SMGFan

I’ve been telling everybody Scott is going to beat Nelson. He has all the momentum. Nelson is fading.


27 posted on 08/22/2018 11:07:51 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: Teacher317

Wait! Montanta is in the tossup category now? That’s good news. Last I had heard, Testor had a decent sized lead. That would be a nice pickup.


28 posted on 08/22/2018 11:10:15 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: Teacher317

What you’re seeing here is the power of incumbency in a Senate race. It is hard to defeat a sitting U.S. Senator. In a state like New Jersey, it’s even hard to defeat one who is a criminal.


29 posted on 08/22/2018 11:17:43 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("The Russians escaped while we weren't watching them ... like Russians will.")
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To: yesthatjallen

Hugin could win Middlesex County, the new bellwether in Jersey politics.

Middlesex has white enclaves that can go for Hugin, but I don’t think a pharmaceutical exec can win a Senate seat in NJ.

Newark, Elizabeth, Dover, Perth Amboy, Lawnside, Atlantic City, Harrison, Trenton, New Brunswick will all go D-Menendez, as Menendez is leading with black and Latino voters, but swing voters will be the key in the fall.


30 posted on 08/22/2018 11:24:38 AM PDT by GuavaCheesePuff (I want to thank the Good Lord for making me a Yankee-Old Yankee Stadium (1923-2008))
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To: yesthatjallen

Hugin is a never Trump, LGBTQ loving, illegal immigrant supporting, baby killing a-hole. I am really going to have to hold my nose to vote for him but anything is better than Bob Menendez. However, he’s no Republican.


31 posted on 08/22/2018 11:35:06 AM PDT by JerseyDvl ("If you're going through hell, keep going.")
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To: yesthatjallen

Why worry or even take polls when everybody knows there is going to be a YUGE blue wave:-)


32 posted on 08/22/2018 12:12:37 PM PDT by Harpotoo
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To: Teacher317

Re 23

A completely illegal and blatant act.

https://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/torricellilautenberg-perverting-rule-law

Doug Forrester was his GOP contestant(in a rugged race).


33 posted on 08/23/2018 5:48:12 AM PDT by Freemeorkillme
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To: Freemeorkillme

(in a rugged race).

%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%

Should be *rigged*


34 posted on 08/23/2018 10:24:03 AM PDT by Freemeorkillme
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