I agree. I have a very hard time thinking that the just feels Manafort is clearly guilty on 17 counts but that there is one charge — just one — where he might possibly be innocent.
Much more likely that he is very close to walking away entirely free.
I’ve tried cases to juries. The only rule is that none of the things you think or hope tell you what their deliberations mean—timing, questions, etc—actually mean much of anything. They’re just stuff for pundits to worry about.