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Tariffs Start to Ripple Their Way Through the U.S. Economy -- Effects are like a tax increase
Wall Street Journal ^ | June 19, 2018 | Josh Zumbrun

Posted on 06/19/2018 5:20:46 AM PDT by reaganaut1

In recent weeks, several major rounds of tariffs have moved from proposals to realities, and major new tariffs have been threatened—shifting the stakes for President Donald Trump’s trade actions on the U.S. economy.

Tariffs raise the price of imported goods, increasing costs to consumers, and making domestic producers (who don’t face the tariff) more competitive.

Examples of how new tariffs might ripple through the economy have already been provided by earlier, smaller rounds of tariffs. These earlier examples also show why broad effects from tariffs, on the otherwise booming U.S. economy, might be hard to detect.

One of the first to go into effect under Mr. Trump came in January, with the imposition of 20% tariffs on washing machines.

While tariffs are formally paid by whomever imports the goods, the importers can pass their costs along to consumers. In the case of washing machines, that happened quickly: The index for laundry equipment in the Labor Department’s consumer-price Index, the nation’s main gauge of inflation, shot up by about 17% over the past three months.

...

Mr. Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs were announced March 1. For some countries they went into effect quickly. The European Union, Canada and Mexico were given more time to negotiate, but those extensions expired at the beginning of this month.

Prices for different types of steel and aluminum began to climb almost immediately, posting the biggest three-month price increase that has been recorded in years. While clearly inflationary and unwelcome for metal consumers, the jump in prices isn’t that much larger than typical volatility in the metals. And only a small portion of the metals ends up in consumer goods.

(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: tariffs; trumpeconomy; trumptrade
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To: DoodleDawg

.
Saying its “like a tax increase” is total barf-bag.

Tax increases are essentially forever, while tariffs change day by day.
.


121 posted on 06/19/2018 9:25:39 AM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: editor-surveyor
Saying its “like a tax increase” is total barf-bag.

A tariff is a tax increase, regardless of what you think.

Tax increases are essentially forever, while tariffs change day by day.

Really? I seem to remember that income taxes were lowered recently.

122 posted on 06/19/2018 9:27:46 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: Hawthorn

“I think he just wants to shut down trade with China, period — regardless of the domestic cost.”

That would be a silly objective, as is the conclusion.

I just heard Art Laffer opine that he doesn’t understand Navarro’s position, but that doesn’t mean his role is not coordinated with Trump.


123 posted on 06/19/2018 9:28:16 AM PDT by G Larry (There is no great virtue in bargaining with the Devil)
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To: DoodleDawg

You seem to lack business knowledge in the sense you believer one wholesaler is the same as another. I explained earlier that expenses incurred by similar businesses can be quite different. If wholesaler A pays $30k monthly in rent while wholesaler B pays $10k or perhaps owns his warehouse that very much impacts his cost of doing business and hereby his markup.

I never even mentioned the savings enjoyed by a business which buys in large volume. The per unit price is very different when units are purchased in quantity and mean 10% or more in what the eventual cost to retailer

It is certainly NOT debatable that taxes in part determine final cost to market of any product.


124 posted on 06/19/2018 9:32:04 AM PDT by billyboy15 (S re)
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To: DoodleDawg

Nah.... that is the give and take of the negotiations.

It’s a game and the players enjoy the process that will ultimately yield some change


125 posted on 06/19/2018 9:51:27 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Greetings Jacques. The revolution is coming))
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To: woodbutcher1963
I THINK that Whirlpool, Maytag, Kitchenaid, Amana(all the same company) are still made in Iowa.

Mainly in Mexico now. Bought out by a large equity firm, and pulled out. They brought some back after people started demanding quality.
126 posted on 06/19/2018 10:27:25 AM PDT by redgolum
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To: reaganaut1

Why would prices go up?
You think the sellers are asking for the lowest possible profit?
Apple and samsung etc jacks up prices as do the clothing companies and show makers from their child and slave labor from overseas.


127 posted on 06/19/2018 11:02:22 AM PDT by minnesota_bound
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To: Hawthorn
Yes, that is the whole point of them. That and the protection of industry. WIN - WIN. They are the only form of taxation that is completely non progressive. All real conservatives should be wildly in favor of them.
128 posted on 06/19/2018 11:32:52 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: DoodleDawg

>> when in modern history have we had zero tariffs? <<

Hong Kong has been that way for many, many years, maybe ever since the British took over in the 1800’s. And Singapore is almost in the same category. The resulting prosperity cannot be denied. The data are as plain as can be.

Anyway, it’s not a question of “zero” tariffs but rather higher or lower average tariffs. And every piece of credible statistical research that I’ve ever seen has shown that lower tariffs lead to greater economic properity.

(Moreover, the latter “pragmatic” point is entirely separate from the matter of fundamental liberty that is involved. In my opinion, neither you nor the government or anybody else should have the right to tell me from whom I may and may not choose to purchase run-of-the mill products.)


129 posted on 06/19/2018 11:50:38 AM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: G Larry

>> I just heard Art Laffer opine that he doesn’t understand Navarro’s position <<

I think Art must be making an intentionally ironic understatement. He’s an excellent economist who completely understands the futility of the kind of 18th Century Mercantilism espoused by Peter Navarro.


130 posted on 06/19/2018 11:54:08 AM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: billyboy15
It is certainly NOT debatable that taxes in part determine final cost to market of any product.

That's not the debatable part. Taxes form a part of the cost to the consumer. Tariffs are a tax, therefore they will be passed along to the consumer as well. What's debatable is the idea that since tax costs are lower then businesses will meekly accept rises in costs in other areas. If they pass one along then they'll pass the other.

131 posted on 06/19/2018 12:02:50 PM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: DoodleDawg

>> If manufacturers pass the cost of income tax on to the consumer then there is no reason to believe that they won’t do the same with other taxes like tariffs <<

Oh, c’mon. Don’t be so logical. It’s not appreciated by our mercantilist friends around here.

>> if the only thing making your business profitable is the artificially high prices that a tariff allows then why would you invest billions in building plants that could be rendered unprofitable by the stroke of a presidential pen or an act of Congress? <<

Excellent point! Wish I had thought about it!


132 posted on 06/19/2018 12:22:50 PM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: DoodleDawg

Oh miss spell a word that proves you won. /sarc


133 posted on 06/19/2018 12:25:11 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: Hawthorn
"I keep asking the establishment shills why America has some moral obligation to tolerate foreign countries imposing higher tariffs upon us than we impose upon them. Seems facially unfair, right? So, there’s got to be a really good reason because how can you support our working people facing a higher obstacle to trade than the foreigners do? I’m just wondering what’s wrong with a level playing field. Fair is fair, right? But I never get a good answer."

Link here.

134 posted on 06/19/2018 12:26:35 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: billyboy15; DoodleDawg

>> I explained earlier that expenses incurred by similar businesses can be quite different <<

Doesn’t necessarily matter. Prices in a marketplace are determined not only by costs, but also by the demand curve and by the amount of competition.

Therefore, two suppliers in the same marketplace will have to set prices about equal to one another, even if the costs of one supplier are greatly different from the costs of the other supplier. It’s the most basic working of supply and demand.


135 posted on 06/19/2018 12:28:15 PM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: Hawthorn

That’s good. Apply a static model to a dynamic economic situation. Moronic.


136 posted on 06/19/2018 12:28:22 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: Hawthorn

Prices will be higher until domestic suppliers come on line. The situation is dynamic and not static like free traders would have us believe. Lies, bully scare tactics and deception are the hallmark of the free trader.


137 posted on 06/19/2018 12:30:27 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: central_va

>> why America has some moral obligation to tolerate foreign countries imposing higher tariffs upon us <<

It’s not “us” that pay the costs of foreign tafiffs. Those countries are taxing their own citizens.


138 posted on 06/19/2018 12:32:04 PM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: Hawthorn
When, in the history of the world, has a trade war ever brought that result?

Ask the rest of the world. They ALL have higher tariffs than the USA, you idiot.

139 posted on 06/19/2018 12:32:28 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: G Larry

If we shut down all trade with the Gooks we’d lose $150 they lose $350B. Our economy is 18T/year. $150B is .08%. LOL!


140 posted on 06/19/2018 12:35:34 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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