I suspect what you said is true, but the fact that 3 of these units have been moved and most of the aircraft are out of Incirlik, are indicators of something more important.
I agree with you there. We (the U.S.) have been quietly moving lots of heavy hitting equipment out of that area for well over a year (probably longer, my memory aint what it used to be). My personal thought is a deal has been struck surrounding Syria and Turkey being uppity is going to leave it open for a very harsh turn of events.