Its SWPA... Pittsburgh Suburbs, Republican district for the most part, have better registration numbers... but this is going to be about turnout, and as I have stated elsewhere, I am worried that Saccone’s message is not going to drive turnout like it needs.
He should still win by a few points even with bad messaging, just based on district makeup... however, if turnout is low, Lamb can squeak in. There is NO doubt Democrats are going to crawl across broken glass to vote for Lamb here... huge enthusiasm gap is obvious.
The lower the turnout, the higher the likelihood Lamb wins.
To his credit, Lamb has run an appropriate campaign for this district, he’s played the conservative/Moderate democrat well, kept the nutters at bay, or at least well hidden.
What’s the weather like there today?....................