Local politics is always a cut-throat game.................
This is probably the most active I have seen the Republican party for this district ever... I am being contacted via text, phone call, mailings and ads constantly... If R’s lose it isn’t because they aren’t out there working hard.
As I posted above this race was going to be closer than it should be due to D enthusiasm, but the R should win... if Saccone loses this this, he is going to lose it due to messaging,
I have been disappointed since day one at the messaging of this race. The ads being run could have been run by any republican for the last 15 or more years...
R’s need to motivate turnout, and I just don’t see the ad campaign that the R’s have been running as something that is going to motivate turnout, outside the already reliable R voters.
I see NOTHING in this campaign messaging that is going to motivate the I voters who went R for Trump let alone the D voters who crossed for Trump to be motivated to turn out by this campaign.
IF the R loses, and I am not saying he will, but it is clear to me that if the messaging of this campaign is the plan for the mid terms, expect the R’s to lose the house, because mid terms are about TURNOUT and I just don’t see the messaging in this race connecting to the MAGA voters who put Trump in office.
This is a fairly solid R district, saccone should pull it out by a few Points even with bad messaging, but that’s not the case for other districts come this november, that are not as solidly R.... IF the messaging used for this race is what R’s plan for November, I expect them to lose the house.