Tiangong-1: China's Out-of-Control Space Station Will Crash Into Earth, Likely to Hit Northern U.S.

Yahoo News Via Newsweek ^ | 03/06/2018 | Christina Zhao

[SeekAndFind]

China’s Tiangong-1 is expected to re-enter the atmosphere and crash into Earth in just a few weeks, scientists have warned.

The Aerospace Corporation, a California-based non-profit research and development organization, predicted the 8.5-ton space station will collide into the earth's atmosphere in the first week of April, with error of margin at a week on either side. The European Space Agency estimates the module will crash sometime between March 24 and April 19.

Although experts have not yet determined exactly where the out-of-control module will land, an Aerospace report detailed that it will likely re-enter somewhere in the northern U.S. states, parts of South America, northern China, the Middle east, central Italy, northern Spain, New Zealand, the south of Africa or Tasmania in Australia.

Sounds ominous—but fear not. In a statement, The Aerospace Corporation said: “There is a chance that a small amount of debris from the module will survive reentry and impact the ground. Should this happen, any surviving debris would fall within a region that is a few hundred kilometres in size and centered along a point on the Earth that the station passes over.”

“When considering the worst-case location… the probability that a specific person (i.e., you) will be struck by Tiangong-1 debris is about one million times smaller than the odds of winning the Powerball jackpot,” it added.

Timothy Horbury, professor of physics at Imperial College London, backed up those claims. Speaking to Newsweek, he advised that the Tiangong-1 re-entering Earth’s atmosphere is “not something we should be concerned about.”

“No one has ever been hurt by a piece of debris landing from space. The earth is very large so the likelihood someone will get hurt is very low. In 1979, bits of Skylab, America’s first space station, re-entered and landed in Australia. Nobody was hurt,”

[mikrofon]

Tiangong-1 Soon Goangoangong

[hattend]

it will likely re-enter somewhere in the northern U.S. states, parts of South America, northern China, the Middle east, central Italy, northern Spain, New Zealand, the south of Africa or Tasmania in Australia.

Certainly narrows that down.

[cpdiii]

"Although experts have not yet determined exactly where the out-of-control module will land, an Aerospace report detailed that it will likely re-enter somewhere in the northern U.S. states, parts of South America, northern China, the Middle east, central Italy, northern Spain, New Zealand, the south of Africa or Tasmania in Australia. "

What they are really trying to say is they have no idea with the exception of maximum north and south latitude of its orbit.

[trebb]

Although experts have not yet determined exactly where the out-of-control module will land, an Aerospace report detailed that it will likely re-enter somewhere in the northern U.S. states, parts of South America, northern China, the Middle east, central Italy, northern Spain, New Zealand, the south of Africa or Tasmania in Australia.

I guess that means they think it will land somewhere on the globe....