Posted on 02/23/2018 11:30:31 PM PST by Pinkbell
Early voting data from Texas is just bonkers. % change over 2014:
Democrats: 70% Republicans: 8%
This is the first midterm since 2006 when Democrats are casting more early ballots than Republicans.
(This is from the Texas SOS, and there are a couple of graphs present.)
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
The fight will be messy and underhanded. A headline from Drudge (I won’t register with the slimes subsidiary the Boston Glob) “Obama Secret Sports Speech; Reporting, Photos, Socials Banned...” Tried to read around the pop-up and apparently he’s having secret meetings that reporters are not allowed to attend. California is registering illegals to vote, Any State that allows illegals, drivers licences is essentially allowing them to register in every State because all they have to do under motor voter is check a box in the next State they move to. The enimedia has been hounding on the repubs since Trump got elected. Say a lie often enough and loud enough and it becomes the truth. (ban AR-15s and kids will be safe) Our enemy is the media and WE need to call out their lies at every turn. You can write letters to the editor if nothing else. The republicans have been resting and they will pay dearly if they don’t wake up.
If dems hold 1 seat , but win a second, they gained 100% more than they previously held. But still hold only 2. Percentages mean little.
It won’t hold up. Early voting just started. The numbers will get back to normal Texas numbers by the time the election polls close on Election Day.
G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
Soon: Data Journalist @TheEconomist. Election/polling/poli sci blog: http://thecrosstab.com . Past @pewresearch, @DecisionDeskHQ, @UTAustin(almost). #rstats @DataCamp
elliott at thecrosstab dotcom
Website; thecrosstab.com
Joined July 2009
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Note: My wife and I mailed our ballots in yesterday. (I really don't like mail in ballots, too much chance for voter fraud, an old ComDem practice.)
General figures,
Only 71% of those eligible to vote register.
In 2012, about 62% of those registered, voted.
So, really, it shows how many people don’t vote at all. A lot of activist political types, news junkies like myself will post here but it shows you how many stay home. The stay-at-homes really “can” decide things.
That’s why, I guess, they are having “voter registrations” at black panther movie showings. Same for Hispanics, they often have low turnout. Just research it.
Ok. First, 70% increase and 8% decrease of what? What were the overall numbers originally? 70% increase of a low number may still be less than a decrease of 8% of a higher number. Additionally, the 35 or 36 seat flip is across ALL 50 state legislatures, not House of Reps. This has nothing to do w/ Pelosi becoming speaker. Lastly, how many, if any, State Legislature seats have flipped from Dem to Rep?
Dems are insane but energetic - Repubs are just pathetic and lazy - way too many talk a good game and take zero action..
Not only that, it negates the impact of an "October surprise" (although those are usually to the benefit of the Democrat).
Why are they having voting more than 8 months ahead?
There could be fraud in this early voting. Wouldn’t be shocked.
This is a primary. Unless there is a really contest race statewide in
one of the parties the total turnout may be low. In some counties there
maybe local races to influence turnout. See what happens come primary
day March 6.
Also Texas has an open primary state in that you don’t register by party.
You select which party you wish to vote in when you go to the polls to vote.
The FBI needs to put ‘fake names’ on voter rolls and see if the non-existant people ‘vote’.
If they do it’s fraud and time for democrat shysters to go to jail...
So far in TX (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/earlyvoting/2018/feb22.shtml):
A total of 27,290 Rs have voted (.0002%), 34,959 Ds have voted (.0003%), for a D advantage of 7,769.
Virtually all of the D advantage comes from Travis (7800), El Paso (naturally, 7541), and Hidalgo (10,179)
Ds are voting under Rs in Harris (99/82), Tarrant (1.01/.78), Colin (1.27/.64), Fort Bend (1.18/.82), Montgomery (2.61/.45), Williamson (1.71/1.16), Galveston 2.36/.69, and Brazoria (2.10/.59).
Rs are voting under Ds in Cameron (1.64/.34), Hidalgo 3.26/.35), El Paso (2.14/.42), Travis (1.68/.62), Bexar (.83/.78) and Dallas (.99/.64)
In short, I don’t see these early voting numbers are alarming in any way except in Hidalgo, Cameron, and El Paso. I’m guessing these are extremely dense D districts.
Total vote in is 2%.
No, he is saying we’ve seen 35 STATE HOUSE or STATE SENATE or STATE judges/sheriffs, whatever else the Ds choose to list as “flipping” from Republican-held to Democrat held since November 2016.
Remember Zero lost over 1500 seats in his 8 years. Many, many of these (such as the KY House seat Dan Johnson held before his suicide) were very narrow wins under Trump.
There is really only one district that concerns me, the FL House district in Sarasota. But look at the KY special election that the D won over Johnson’s widow: only 4,000 turned out, whereas 12,000 turned out in November 2016.
The fact is Rs just cannot be made to vote constantly, to eat, drink and breathe politics. They show up on REAL election days. Texas is a great example of hysteria over nothing.
I can foresee a rough time for Trump coming after the midterms....
This is the primary for the Nov. election. Texas votes early in the process.
Your data is also listing only the largest 15 counties out of
a total 254 counties in the state.
Thanks
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