I not going to argue the fact the establishment republicans are snakes baring that Ted will be fine. Despite what some freepers think Ted has a very good relationship with president Trump. I would have voted for Judge Moore but he was a not that well liked in Alabama.They did not like him as much as they hated Mitch McConnell.
He won statewide election in 2013. Why would it be unreasonable to believe that absent those unprovable accusations he would have done so again?
Moore would have won had the party not stabbed him in the back. He almost did anyway. In fact, it is not yet completely over, and he may yet win, though it's looking unlikely.