Posted on 12/11/2017 8:01:01 AM PST by Hojczyk
Democrat Doug Jones holds a 10-point lead over Republican Roy Moore among likely voters in deep red Alabama.
Greater party loyalty plus higher interest in the election among Democrats combined with more enthusiasm among Jones supporters gives him the advantage in the race to fill the U.S. Senate seat previously held by U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions.
That’s according to a Fox News Poll of Alabama voters conducted Thursday through Sunday using traditional polling techniques, including a list-based probability sample with both landlines and cellphones.
Jones receives 50 percent to Moore’s 40 percent, with 1-in-10 undecided (8 percent) or supporting another candidate (2 percent) -- which could make a difference Tuesday. That’s even truer with such an unconventional election with unconventional candidates.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Never mind that the five previous polls all consistently show Moore ahead by four to nine points.
I'd just love to see the methodology used in this poll.
Lets go back to the 2016 Indiana Primary. Remember these polls. This Fox poll looks like an outlier like IPFW’s was:
https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-indiana-presidential-republican-primary
See post #122. I think you will see a similiarity.
It did not change. Fox used a +2 Republican sample. That is absurd.
Too bad Jeff Sessions didn’t stay put.
He ran unopposed last time around, now we have this Circus that might hand the same Senate Seat to a Commie Baby Killer.
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA....
Fox New’s never Trumpers have found the newest spin.
Yup. Hillary outspent Trump something like five to one in 2016, and look what happened.
Oh, wait...
Clinton outspent Trump 2-1. Made no difference.
The five previous polls this month show Moore ahead four to nine points.
Fox News is so OUTSIDE the norm its ridiculous and deserves mocked just as badly as those polls showing Hillary winning PA by 10 or SC or GA etc...
This poll is flat out laughable.
Should Moore lose, (and I doubt he will) it will be the slimmest of margins....
The true results are far more likely to be Moore by double digits.
Drudge has this poll on front page. He’s really anti Moore.
Strange and the GOPe spent 30 Million during the primary to take out Moore... didn’t work then... won’t work now.
The thing about the South is.... they don’t take kindly to outsiders telling them how to live their lives... All the money in the world from Soros won’t change the outcome....
Is ‘enthused’ now a synonym for ‘oversampled’?
This poll is a joke, its psy-ops nothing else, trying to convince folks they better not vote for him... just like the ludicrous polls showing Hillary up 10 in PA or winning in SC and GA.. Nothing more than attempts at psychological manipulation...
“hmmm...maybe I shouldn’t vote or show up since Moore will lose”...
Didn’t work before, won’t work now. Fox News is GOPe Shill land.... has been for a long long time... this poll is a joke on its face.
Even if Moore was heavily damaged, no Democrat is winning statewide in AL by 10... and certainly not against Moore... Moore is the biggest thing in the political landscape in AL, and has been for decades now...
Should Moore lose, and I highly doubt that is anywhere in the cards, it would be by the SLIMMEST of margins... The far more likely outcome is Moore by double digits.
This poll is absolutely laughable.
I know but that is a good example but for a national race. The example I put up is more appropriate because it was for a state only and there are multiple polls showing Trump with the lead with one outlier for Cruz.
--------Democrat-------- --------Republican-------- Independent /Other
TOTAL Solid Lean TOTAL Solid Lean
Likely Voters
7-10 Dec 17 42% 34 8 44 35 9 14
Registered Voters
7-10 Dec 17 38% 31 7 46 36 10 16
It is and is an outlier.
Drudge is part of the GOPe anymore... and he’s light in the loafers to boot... I’m sure he personally has no love for anyone who quotes the Bible on the stump.
There are more than 20% more GOP voters in Alabama. The sample from this firm has to take that weighting in order for it to be valid.
I know it is, its an insane outlier... thrown in there to keep the Average of Polls within a few points.... Someone nearly always does this every election... 8 polls will show one guy winning and usually by a solid margin then some insane outlier shows up with a ludicrous claim the other side is going to win big... and all its only purpose is to attempt to throw out some psy-ops and to keep the average of polls showing that its a race and not the blowout it clearly is.
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