I love it when futurists confuse what “can” happen with what “will” happen. They are seldom correct, very, very seldom.
Bob Lutz is quite the car guy, loves Trump and thinks Tesla will go bankrupt. While I think he’s jumping the gun considerably (by decades) I have no doubt that it’s heading in exactly the direction he describes. Do I think it’s a “good” think individually? No, I hate it. I’m very suspicious and the prospect of self-driving cars just leaves me cold. But from a societal standpoint, I can see why it’s regarded as very appealing. It just doesn’t appeal to me, not right now. Check back in thirty years when my reflexes have slowed, my feet might be numb due to neuropathy, my vision is shot and I might not even be capable of driving anymore. Then, it would make perfect sense and be very appealing.
Yes, don’t you love all of our flying cars parked in our garages?
Ditto for long-haul transportation, though the rail lobby will likely squash that idea.
But for everyone? Darned unlikely.
God laughs...people still totally suck at predicting the future. They are wrong, almost universally. Yet more and more, the chattering head’s keep trying to say they know what’s going to happen. Pity poor Lutz, he’s now lumped in there with Al Gore.