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When they get there, then you have something that may change the dynamic, until you get there, you have a lot of nice water cooler talk.

10 minute or less to go at least 300 miles, carrying reasonable cargo/passengers... If I can’t pile the kids and the mrs in the car and go at least 300 miles before I have to stop (preferrably far more) you aren’t replacing the typical combustion vehicle for most people.

Will it get there someday? Probably, but it ain’t there yet.

Right now the purely electric car is a commuter vehicle/second vehicle/toy for the wealthy... Hell for nearly 20 years now hybrids have been in the market place, and their percentage of the market while growing are miniscule... just over 4 Million have been sold in the US by April of last year... 1999-April 2016. At the same time the average total new cars sold per year over that same period is 15-16 Million per year... so 4 Million over 16+ years has cumulatively equaled 1/4 of 1 years worth of US car sales.

Electric is not poised to replace the combustion engine yet. Not even close. One day it may get there, but predictions that we are 30 years away from electrical car sales being 90% of those sold? I think that’s some pie in the sky dreaming. Well other than government MANDATING it, I don’t see that sort of market penetration... Because to replace something you can’t just “be as good as”.. you have to be better... And they haven’t even gotten to “as good as” yet.... let alone better than.

One day they likely will find an alternative to combustion power, that’s practical and affordable, but its not there yet.... Let alone should they manage to overcome the technical issues with the vehicles themselves, the US power grid can’t remotely handle 90% of vehicles drawing from it... Which means shortages and price spikes and even possible rolling blackouts.

There is far far more to mainstreaming the electric only car, than a research group claiming they have a better battery. It may eventually get there, but the prediction of 90% within 30 years is going to require a lot more movement than we currently are seeing in this space.