Posted on 09/10/2017 2:02:02 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Interesting track on Jose. That map shows it heading for Florida. Joe Bastardi thought maybe North Carolina.
Thanks! Great view of the Hillsborough River as well as the bay and the port. We face south so Irma’s winds are not as worrisome as they would be if we faced north. They’re mostly going past us from the east right now as is the rain. We had a tropical storm a few months ago and the rain and wind were blowing right at us. There’s a small “gutter” along the balcony doors that have little drain holes. The water was coming so hard, it couldn’t hardly keep up so there was gurgling going on. No leaks, so it was ok. Stay safe, too!
telecom companies now have disaster units they can deploy to relay the signal after a tower goes down. They basically just run in and turn on the generators and send a signal if it’s safe to do so.
yeah, you are talking to yourself too.
There are three distinct threats from a hurricane.
The storm surge is the deadliest threat. I live 35 feet above sea level and 10 miles from salt water, so I don't really worry about storm surge. When you see evacuations, the evacuees are typically fleeing from the storm surge.
The second threat is wind. Wind damage is often widespread and can compromise structures. Typically, this means that shingles are blown off roofs allowing rain to seep in a house. Wind is also the major factor causing power outages when it blows tree branches on power lines or knocking down the power lines directly. The thing I fear most from a hurricane is being without power for an extended period of time.
Rain is the final threat, but it usually threatens the smallest number of people. Flood damage is certainly costly, but hurricanes often blow through an area before dumping enough rain to cause floods. Rain is also a more predictable threat than wind. Wind damages structures over a wide area with no discrimination. Flood waters affect homes near drainage arteries (creeks and rivers). If your home is high enough, you probably don't have to worry about floods.
Harvey was far enough from Houston that its winds were a non-issue. But Harvey looped around SE Texas and dumped rain for four days. Rain was the threat from Harvey. And I don't think anyone was under the impression that Harvey's rains wouldn't be an issue. For the overwhelming majority of Houston residents, their houses are high enough that rising waters aren't a danger. City officials prepared Houston residents for 30 inches or rain, which would match the largest floods in recent memory (Tropical Storm Allison). In reality, Harvey dumped up to 50 inches of rain. The people that usually flood had water, but a lot of people who don't normally flood had water, too. But for 98% of Houston residents, Harvey was just an extended summer break. Schools were closed and the city was shut down, but the people were comfortably sitting at home watching TV in air conditioning. They couldn't go anywhere because the roads were flooded, but they weren't in danger themselves.
So to the extent that people thought Harvey wasn't a problem, it was that Harvey wouldn't bring its high winds to a densely populated area. Remember, the wind threat is the one that is widespread. The risk of flooding was known, but even with 50 inches of in four days, 98% of Houston homes didn't get any water in them. And of the people that flooded, it wasn't the first time for many of them.
Don't say that Harvey caught Houston by surprise.
ventusky has it pretty much threatening the east coast most of the next week. https://www.ventusky.com/?p=36.8;-77.4;5&l=wind-900hpa&t=20170918/09&m=gfs&w=fast
Be prepared.
Self ping for a reminder. :-)
prayers for you. Be safe.
Godspeed.
Goodnight.
Checking in from Sebring. We got the eyewall at an oblique angle. 100+ mph winds for about an hour. Ficus trees are shredded. No roof leaks. House is solid. Lost power just after 7pm. No water pressure. AT&T cell service sucks. It’s sketchy on a good day. Wife’s Version running hot and fast. Hope everyone is safe. Later.
I see now. I didn’t realize it was due south of that area when the talked about the northerly track.
From the radar on the NOAA weather site, it looks like the rain is slowing down in Orlando. They’ve received about 9 inches this afternoon and tonight.
No further word from my sister there in Sanford.
The highest winds reported from the Sebring airport on Sunday were 46 m.p.h.
A little LESS hype and a LOT more facts would be appreciated, but let's face it, boring TV can't keep the viewers and so "news" people have to be actors now. Melodrama sells.
I live in the Williamsburg area of Orland. In the SW portion of Orange county. Expecting it to get bad here over the next hour, can hear the wind picking up. Looks like the east eye wall is going to pass over us.
Wow! FPL restored power as I was typing! But over 200,000 without power in Brevard County.
Winds really picking up again...
Looters should always be shot stone cold dead.
People scoff and utter inanities about the inadequacy of deterrent measures, but their words gain some traction only because what measures have to-date been enacted as “deterrent” are, themselves, more of a mockery of the concept than anything else.
You enact deterrent measures that give people loose bowels just hearing them announced by the local newscaster — I guaran-damn-TEE you’ll have ghostly quiet on the streets.
That notion is only mocked because it hasn’t been tried.
People who go out looting aren’t doing it in defiance of death or they wouldn’t be doing it. There ain’t a pair of Air Jordans nor any TV on earth worth being dead over.
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