Posted on 09/09/2017 2:08:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The entire Florida Peninsula and points north are poised to experience Hurricane Irma after the storm hugged Cuba's northern coastline. Thousands of Floridians who evacuated the Atlantic cost to Gulf Coast areas found their safe shelter under direct threat from Hurricane Irma as the forecast shifted W Friday night and Saturday. Hurricane Irma's prolonged interaction with Cuba diminished its strength to Category 3.
Irma is forecast to increase in strength as it crosses the FL Straits. The Florida Keys experienced strong outer bands while Irma grazed the N Cuba coastline.
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Buoy Data SE US & GOM
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Hurricane Irma Live Thread I
Hurricane Irma Live Thread II
My families in the White Zone...lowest there is so they’re ok but they have evacuated those in the a&b Zones just below them near the river.
I use to live off University BLVD. up near the bend of St. John’s... Nice apartment complex the few months I was there.
I remember on one of these threads and maybe it was you.
Just come to Birmingham. Well, if this thing tracks further west B’ham will be under the rain gun.
Why is it improbable? It is until it happens, as they say. This hurricane has shown a turn to the north for days from dozens of models that are run multiple times a day - so that amounts to many hundreds of model runs showing the same thing. The likelihood that they are all wrong is small, very small.
The only question was when the storm turns north, and it is a bit more westerly than first thought. Not bad considering the storm is the size of France and hurricane force winds (at least gusts) will touch almost the entire state.
Good Work. Well Deserved.
Watch for change. I suspect it will shortly.
The Carolinas are loving it. All the beach areas booked.
Oh I’m here in PA...LOLOL...But have been tracking Florida and surrounding states as I have family members in Jacksonville. They’re outside the evacuation zones so hunkered down....shutters up tightened down... and lots of provisions for the duration.
When you swig a barn door cross section thru those eye vortices, you see sublte pulses of precip spiraling inward on the radial.
At 90 degrees to the wind. Those vortices are the inward “exhaust” of much bigger jets...crossing from eyewall to eye, which isn’t spin to none. But the main pulse is in the eyewall..tbose,are just the keftovers.
Seems appropriate this morning....
“The woman on board ship... was much disturbed in a storm, while her husband, the captain, was calm and restful. She asked him why he was so placid when she was so distressed. He did not answer in words, but he took down his sword and held it to her breast. She smiled. He said, “Why are you not afraid? This is a sharp sword, with which I could slay you in a minute.” “Ah,” she replied, “but I am not afraid of a sword when it is my husband who wields it.” “So,” said he, “neither am I afraid of a storm when it is my Father who sends it and who manages it.” Now, since all the trials and troubles of this mortal life are as much in the hand of the great God as that sword was in the hand of the good woman’s husband, we need not be afraid of them, for they are all in His power! When He rides aloft in His chariot, and the skies tremble at the sound, why should you tremble, even you timid ones?”
— Charles Spurgeon
I’m glad they stayed home. J’ville isn’t gonna get anything but rain.
1’000,000 on the road to upstate SC and NC. Not gonna get nothing.
Tornado Warning Ft Laud to W Palm Veach. Number Two, NE of Ft Pierce. Movibg BW,at 25-30moh, nine minutes old.
Moving NW at 25-30. Radar indicated.
Got a couple hours of shut eye after feeling somewhat relieved it might stay off the coast and went down to a 3. Just woke up freaking out to hear it’s back on track with Fort Myers in tge crosshairs. We and our neighbors hunkered down. Not so sure it was the right call.
I’ve run into people from the Space Coast here in NC up close to the Virginia border. Such a massive cluster, this attempted evacuation has been. I don’t know what the answer is, but the media hysteria is going to likely cause more people to die in highway accidents than the storm itself will cause.
I know I was praying for a different outcome as those presented. I do pray for those that must endure this storm.
It will not be well for many. This storm may go up the likes of Eufala, or Bonifay. I do not wish this.
Moving at a fast clip now.
We were really hoping it would curve out but it did not happen. The Emerald coast is probably OK but railing Tampa and Orlando is not OK.
Our Company is making adjustments as they arise. I really feel for the folks in Tampa and Naples as it seems to be the spot.
I did some quick research. It seems that there are no hurricanes recorded as having done so. An answer to the question on Yahoo was that the two eyes if it happened would sheer each other apart, but it seemed to be more speculation than actual fact.
We'll see.
This storm's path has been so hard to track. Nothing would be surprising.
I’ve spent a little time in Tampa decades ago, what I recall of the nicer old neighborhoods is brick paved streets, solidly constructed two story houses with tile roofs on built up lots well above the sidewalks, and you’d better slow down for cross streets because there’s a mean dip for drainage that will take the air dam right off your car if you take it too fast. Those areas will probably be OK. Newer construction to hurricane code will probably be OK. Crappy condos near the bayfront built prior to code, I wouldn’t want to be there.
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