“the wild card in all this, a “tropical storm” over the mountains of Eastern Tennessee....”
How far west do you see it going — Sevierville or such?
The forecasted 2PM Tuesday storm position looks to be over top of the smokies, so yes. Also recognize that hurricane force winds could reach Atlanta, so this thing is going to be potent for a while.
At some yet-to-be-determined point in/near Tennessee, the storm will slow or stall before finally getting swept out... so don’t sleep on it: flood-prone areas need to be aware.