[SomeCallMeTim]

The NHC track is still predicting a westward bend to the track before the north turn. SO far, it isn’t happening.

If this continues, it gives Miami a much better chance of an eastern “Skirt by”... It’s still going to be an interesting day on Sunday, but... that would be a LOT better than a direct hit.

[alancarp]

I just plotted that out... it's real subtle. I've plotted it out, now and it's practically a straight line.

Basically, watch what the latitude is when it gets to about 76°W lon (roughly mid-late Friday)... if the latitude is at or above 22.5°, then the turn is starting. If 22.3° or less, then no turn yet.

Right now the NHC seems to think it won't start happening until roughly 78°W (on Saturday).

[Presbyterian Reporter]

“””The NHC track is still predicting a westward bend to the track before the north turn. SO far, it isn’t happening.”””

Today is the day for that westward bend to happen or not. By 8am Friday we should know if Irma going to be closer to the Bahamas than Florida.

[mdmathis6]

I have a bad feeling as that stationary front seems to be pushingthe hurricaine more south and west like into the gulf west....New Orleans could be in for a surprise...